The Matchday 27 Serie A fixture between Calcio Como and Unione Sportiva Lecce will take place on 28 February at 17:00 at the Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Calcio Como vs Unione Sportiva Lecce: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Calcio Como
In the previous round, Cesc Fabregas' men produced an impressive away win over Juventus, winning 2:0. That success lifted Calcio Como to sixth in the standings on 45 points. The meeting with the Turin side once again underlined the team's defensive reliability – by the xG metric, the hosts concede only 0.76 goals per game on average. By this measure, the club are among the top three in the league: after 26 matchdays, the team have allowed opponents to score only 19 goals. The attacking unit looks no less impressive: 41 goals is one of the best tallies in the division and further evidence of how balanced the side are.
At least two goals have been scored in 8 of the last 9 Calcio Como Serie A matches.
In 10 of the previous 11 league games, the club have managed to find the net.
Across the last six matches in this tournament, the team have lost only once (3 wins, 2 draws).
Potential Calcio Como Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Jean Butez – Alex Valle, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Jacobo Ramon,
Mergim Vojvoda – Luca Da Cunha, Maximo Perrone – Martin Baturina, Nico Paz, Nicolas-Gerrit Kuhn – Anastasios Douvikas
Defender Edoardo Goldaniga and forward Assane Diao will miss the match through injury.
Unione Sportiva Lecce
In the latest round, Unione Sportiva Lecce lost 0:2 to Inter Milan, a result that kept the team stuck in the relegation zone. After 26 matches, Eusebio Di Francesco's men sit 17th in the standings. Over the whole season, the side have scored only 17 goals – the worst total in the league. Their attacking problems were clear again against the Milan side: Unione Sportiva Lecce did not manage a single shot on target and produced just 0.12 xG. The situation at the back looks a little steadier, though. Thanks to an organised defensive approach, the team have one of the two best goals-conceded records among clubs in the bottom half of the table.
In 7 of the last 9 Unione Sportiva Lecce league matches, at least one team failed to score.
The club have won only one of their last seven Serie A games (1 draw, 5 defeats).
In 8 of the last 10 matches involving the team in this tournament, no more than two goals were scored.
Potential Unione Sportiva Lecce Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Wladimiro Falcone – Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Thiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo – Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly – Santiago Pierotti, Omri Gandelman, Riccardo Sottil – Walid Cheddira
Midfielder Medon Berisha and forward Francesco Camarda will miss the game through injury. Forward Lameck Banda is suspended.
Referee
Francesco Fourneau (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 38%.
Calcio Como vs Unione Sportiva Lecce: Match Prediction
Over the course of the current season, it has become clear that even a relatively solid defence does not save Unione Sportiva Lecce from a relegation fight. The team show a decent level in front of their own goal, but that is clearly not enough to guarantee safety for next year. Yes, heavy defeats have been rare, and even against Italy's top clubs the side have often looked respectable. The draw in Turin against Juventus in Matchday 18 stands out: Unione Sportiva Lecce scored and took a point. However, it is worth noting that the xG advantage was entirely with the Turin side (2.77 vs 0.26), and Juventus also missed a penalty. In addition, the team have conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches in Serie A.
In the upcoming match, Calcio Como look the clear favourites. Cesc Fabregas' side are in excellent form and last time out dealt confidently with Juventus, not allowing the Turin club to score at all – despite the fact they had not gone without a home goal since Matchday 11. That result only reinforced belief in Calcio Como's reliability and organisation, both defensively and going forward. Overall, the club have been solid at home: in 13 matches this season, the team have recorded six wins (five draws, two defeats). Given that form and their confidence on home turf, it is hard to see Unione Sportiva Lecce as opponents capable of taking points off the hosts.
Prediction: Calcio Como to win + Calcio Como, over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this tournament.
