Matchday 5 of the Nations League between Denmark and Spain in Group 4 of League A will take place on November 15 at Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. Denmark vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Rade Obrenovic (Serbia)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Denmark vs. Spain
Denmark (3-4-3): Kasper Schmeichel – Mads Roerslev Rasmussen, Jannik Vestergaard, Victor Nelsson – Victor Kristiansen, Christian Norgaard, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Morten Hjulmand – Albert Gronbaek, Christian Eriksen, Rasmus Hojlund.
Spain (4-2-1-3): David Raya – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aymeric Laporte, Dani Vivian, Pedro Porro – Martin Zubimendi, Fabian Ruiz – Pedri – Ayoze Perez, Mikel Oyarzabal, Alvaro Morata.
Denmark
The Danes started the current tournament well with two clean-sheet victories at home in September. However, in October, they played away, losing to Spain (0-1) and drawing with Switzerland (2-2). Denmark is currently in second place in their group, with a three-point lead over Serbia. To guarantee a playoff spot, the Danes need to earn more points than Serbia in this round.
At the end of October, Brian Riemer was appointed as the new head coach of the national team.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Denmark's last 8 Nations League games.
- Before the draw with Switzerland, Denmark had a 13-match streak without a draw in this tournament (9 wins and 4 losses).
- The number "2" appeared in the final score in 10 of Denmark's last 12 Nations League matches.
Spain
Spain, on the other hand, played their first two games of the tournament away, drawing with Serbia (0-0) and thrashing Switzerland (4-1). Last month, they secured clean-sheet victories at home against Denmark (1-0) and Serbia (3-0). Luis de la Fuente's team comfortably leads Group 4 and has already secured a playoff spot in the Nations League. The team can ensure the top spot if they avoid defeat in the upcoming match.
- Spain is unbeaten in regulation time in their last seven Nations League matches (5 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one team did not score in 4 of Spain's last 5 Nations League games.
- Spain scored in the second half in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches.
Denmark vs. Spain: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, bookmakers consider the visitors as favorites. However, I believe the hosts have a strong chance of avoiding defeat. The Spaniards will likely be more relaxed, as they are already through to the tournament playoffs. Head coach Luis de la Fuente might experiment with the lineup, while for Denmark's new coach, it's important to start his tenure with a positive result.
With some caution, I suggest a minimal handicap on the Scandinavians. Denmark has lost only twice in 10 home Nations League matches, with one loss by a single goal. Additionally, Denmark has a 9-match winning streak at home in official competitions. On the other hand, before their win against Switzerland, Spain had never won away in this tournament by two or more goals.
Given the lack of motivation for the visitors and Denmark's strong home record, my prediction is: Denmark with a handicap (+1)