Matchday 5 of the Nations League between Denmark and Spain in Group 4 of League A will take place on November 15 at the Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. Denmark vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Rade Obrenovic (Serbia)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Denmark vs. Spain
Denmark (3-4-3): Kasper Schmeichel – Joakim Maehle, Jannik Vestergaard, Victor Nelsson – Victor Kristiansen, Christian Norgaard, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Morten Hjulmand – Albert Gronbaek, Christian Eriksen, Rasmus Hojlund.
Spain (4-2-1-3): David Raya – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aymeric Laporte, Dani Vivian, Pedro Porro – Martin Zubimendi, Fabian Ruiz – Pedri – Ayoze Perez, Mikel Oyarzabal, Alvaro Morata.
Denmark
The Scandinavians started the current tournament well, securing two clean-sheet victories at home in September. However, in October, the team played away, losing to Spain (0-1) and drawing with Switzerland (2-2). Denmark is currently second in their group, three points ahead of Serbia. To guarantee a playoff spot, the Danes need to earn more points than the Serbs in this round.
In late October, Brian Riemer became the new head coach of the national team.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Denmark's last 8 Nations League matches.
- Before the draw with Switzerland, Denmark had a 13-match uncompromising streak in this tournament (9 wins and 4 losses).
- The number "2" appeared in the final score in 10 of Denmark's last 12 Nations League encounters.
Spain
The Spaniards, on the other hand, played their first two tournament matches away, drawing with Serbia (0-0) and thrashing Switzerland (4-1). Last month, they secured clean-sheet victories at home against Denmark (1-0) and Serbia (3-0). Luis de la Fuente's team confidently leads Group 4 and has guaranteed a playoff spot in the Nations League. The team can secure the top spot if they avoid defeat in the upcoming match.
- Spain is unbeaten in regular time in their last seven matches in this tournament (5 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one team did not score in 4 of Spain's last 5 Nations League games.
- The team scored in the second half in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches.
Denmark vs. Spain: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, bookmakers favor the visitors, but I believe the hosts have a good chance of avoiding defeat. The Spanish team will be more relaxed, as they have already secured a playoff spot. Head coach Luis de la Fuente can afford to experiment with the lineup, while it is important for Denmark's new coach to start his national team career with a positive result.
With some caution, I propose a minimal handicap on the Scandinavians. Denmark has lost only twice in 10 home Nations League matches, with one loss by a single goal. Additionally, the Danes have a 9-match winning streak at home at the official level. Meanwhile, Spain, before their victory over Switzerland, had never won an away match in this tournament by two or more goals.
Given the lack of motivation for the visitors and Denmark's strong home performance, my prediction is – “Denmark with a handicap (+1)”