The Matchday 11 clash in the Russian Premier League between Dynamo Moscow and Akhmat will take place on October 19 at the VTB Arena. Dynamo Moscow vs. Akhmat: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Dynamo Moscow
Valery Karpin's side suffered a 3-5 defeat to Lokomotiv in the last round, ending their three-match unbeaten run in the league (2 wins, 1 draw). Despite this, Dynamo has scored at least two goals in their last four matches in this tournament. However, they have conceded in five consecutive Premier League games. Moreover, the team has kept a clean sheet only twice in the RPL 2025/26 season, a record that is only better than four other teams. In the standings, Dynamo holds the 8th position.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Dynamo's last 8 league matches.
- At home in this tournament, the team has avoided defeat in 13 of their last 15 matches (9 wins, 4 draws).
- Dynamo has scored at least three goals in 5 of their last 7 home Premier League games.
Predicted lineup for Dynamo Moscow (4-3-3)
Andrey Lunev – Rubens Dias, Maxim Osipenko, Juan Caceres, Baktiyor Zainutdinov – Daniil Fomin, Danil Glebov, Bitello – Ivan Sergeev, Anton Miranchuk, El-Mehdi Maukub.
Injuries include defender Milan Maistorovic, forward Denis Makarov, and Arthur Gomes, as well as midfielder Luis Chavez.
Akhmat
Under Stanislav Cherchesov, Akhmat suffered their first Premier League defeat in eight matches (4 wins, 3 draws). The team lost 0-2 to Krasnodar, ending a seven-match scoring streak in the RPL. Akhmat failed to score for only the third time in this season. In the league table, the club is in 9th place.
- Akhmat has conceded at least one goal in 6 of their last 7 RPL matches.
- Away from home, the team has not won in 13 of their last 14 league games (5 draws, 8 losses).
- Akhmat has scored against this opponent in their last 6 meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-5-1)
Giorgi Shelia – Turpal-Ali Ibisev, Maxim Sidorov, Miroslav Bogosavac, Nader Ghandri – Manuel Keliannu, Ismael Silva, Egas Kasintura, Brian Mansilla, Lechi Sadulaev – Georgy Melkadze.
Defender Usman Ndong is suspended.
Referee
Ranel Ziyakov (Russia)
Matches – 7 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 30;
Penalties – 29%.
Match Prediction: Dynamo Moscow vs. Akhmat
In their last 7 league matches where Dynamo was the favorite, they managed to confirm this status only three times. Two of the three opponents in these matches are battling to avoid relegation, and Samara is not far from the playoff zone. Nevertheless, bookmakers once again favor Valery Karpin's side. At home, the Moscow club has won 3 of their last 7 Premier League matches, two of which were with a minimal goal difference.
Akhmat's unbeaten run ended against the reigning champions. However, the match could have gone differently if Georgy Melkadze had converted a penalty. Krasnodar currently appears more convincing than Dynamo, and in the upcoming game, Akhmat might achieve a better result. Notably, before the last round, the club had only suffered two away defeats in the RPL 2025/26, both by a one-goal margin.
My prediction: Akhmat with a handicap (+1.5)
