The Round of 16 match in the Copa del Rey between Elche and Atletico Madrid will take place on January 15 at the Martinez Valero Stadium. Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
Matches – 12 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
Predicted lineups for Elche vs. Atletico Madrid
Elche (3-4-2-1): Miguel San-Romabi – Iago Santiago, Nicolas Castro, Aleix Febas, Alvaro Nunez – Nicolas Mercau, Agustin Alvarez – Rodri Mendoza.
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Juan Musso – Clement Lenglet, Robin Le Normand, Javi Galan, Nahuel Molina – Pablo Barrios, Rodrigo De Paul, Giuliano Simeone, Conor Gallagher – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Each team's starting lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Elche
The Valencian side advanced to the Round of 16 in the Copa del Rey without any issues, defeating all their opponents with clean sheets. In the first two stages, the team overcame CD Coria (3-0) and Yeclano (1-0), while in the last round, they unexpectedly thrashed La Liga side Las Palmas (4-0). Last season, Elche was halted at the Round of 32, losing to Girona (0-2).
- At least one team failed to score in regular time in 8 of Elche's last 9 Copa del Rey matches.
- In the last 16 matches of Elche in this tournament, only once did the game end in a draw after 90 minutes (12 wins and 3 losses).
- The Valencians have not won in regular time in 8 of their last 10 home matches in this Cup (4 draws and 4 losses).
Atletico Madrid
The capital club played all three previous rounds of the tournament away from home, facing opponents from Spain's third division or lower. Without much effort, Atletico advanced past Vic (2-0), Cacereño (3-1), and Marbella (1-0). Atletico Madrid is a 10-time Copa del Rey champion, but they last won the tournament in 2013. Last season, Diego Simeone's team reached the semi-finals but lost to Athletic Bilbao in a two-legged tie (0-1 and 0-3).
- In their last 13 Copa del Rey matches, Atletico has lost only twice in regular time (9 wins and 2 draws).
- One of the teams failed to score in regular time in 5 of Atletico's last 6 Copa del Rey matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in regular time in 8 of Atletico's last 11 matches in this Cup.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Despite Atletico being clear favorites in this matchup, the hosts have a chance not to lose in regular time. Elche is among the top six in the Segunda Division and could return to La Liga after two years. The team boasts one of the best defenses in their league, and Eder Sarabia's side could prevent the renowned opponent from scoring more than two goals, especially since the visitors may try to advance without exerting maximum effort.
In their last 19 Copa del Rey matches, Elche has never lost by a large margin, and they have only lost by two goals twice in this series. Atletico, on the other hand, has shown little interest in the Copa del Rey in recent years and hasn't reached the final since 2013. There's a high probability that the team will exit early in this edition, especially since Diego Simeone's side has a chance to win La Liga – they are among the leaders after the first round. Additional matches in the Cup could become a burden in the coming months when they will also compete in La Liga and the Champions League.
My prediction – Atletico Madrid Individual Total Under 2
