The Round of 16 match of the Spanish Cup between Elche and Atletico Madrid will take place on January 15 at the Martinez Valero Stadium. Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
Matches – 12 (La Liga and Spanish Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
Predicted lineups for Elche vs. Atletico Madrid
Elche (3-4-2-1): Miguel San Roman – Jose Salinas, David Affengruber, Bambo Diaby – Iago Santiago, Nicolas Castro, Aleix Febas, Alvaro Nunez – Nicolas Mercau, Agustin Alvarez – Rodri Mendoza.
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Juan Musso – Clement Lenglet, Robin Le Normand, Javi Galan, Nahuel Molina – Pablo Barrios, Rodrigo De Paul, Giuliano Simeone, Conor Gallagher – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Each team's starting lineup from its previous match in this tournament is listed.
Elche
The Valencians advanced to the Round of 16 of the Spanish Cup without any issues, defeating all their opponents with clean sheets. In the first two stages, the team easily overcame lower league opponents – CD Coria (3-0) and Yeclano (1-0), and in the last round, unexpectedly thrashed La Liga representative Las Palmas 4-0. Last season, Elche was eliminated in the Round of 32, losing to Girona (0-2).
- At least one team failed to score in regular time in 8 of Elche's last 9 Spanish Cup matches.
- In the last 16 matches of Elche in this tournament, there was only one draw after 90 minutes (12 wins and 3 draws).
- The Valencians have not won in regular time in 8 of their last 10 home games in this cup (4 draws and 4 losses).
Atletico Madrid
The capital club played all three previous rounds of the tournament away. The opponents were from the third and lower divisions of Spain. Without much effort, Atletico defeated Vic (2-0), Cacereno (3-1), and Marbella (1-0). Atletico is a 10-time winner of the Copa del Rey, but their last victory in this tournament was in 2013. Last season, Diego Simeone's side reached the semi-finals but lost in a two-legged tie to Athletic (0-1 and 0-3).
- In their last 13 matches in this tournament, Atletico lost in regular time only twice (9 wins and 2 draws).
- One of the teams failed to score in 5 of Atletico's last 6 Spanish Cup matches after 90 minutes.
- No more than three goals were scored in regular time in 8 of Atletico's last 11 matches in this cup.
Elche vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Despite Atletico being the clear favorites in this matchup, the hosts have a chance not to lose in regular time. Elche is among the top six in the Segunda and may return to La Liga after two years. The team boasts one of the best defensive lines in their league. With effective defensive play, Eder Sarabia's side can prevent their opponents from scoring more than two goals, especially since the capital club will likely try to get past Elche without exerting maximum effort.
The Valencians have not lost by a large margin in their last 19 Spanish Cup matches, and they have only lost by two goals twice in this series. Atletico has shown a lack of interest in the Copa del Rey in recent seasons, not reaching the final since 2013. There is a high chance that the team will be eliminated early in this tournament, especially since Diego Simeone's side has a chance to win La Liga – they are among the leaders after the first round. Additional matches in the Cup could be an unnecessary burden in the coming months as they compete in both La Liga and the Champions League.
My prediction – Atletico Madrid Individual Total Under 2