Matchday 6 of the Nations League between England and Ireland in Group 2 of League B will take place on November 17 at Wembley Stadium in London. England vs. Ireland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Erik Lambrechts (Belgium)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 8%.
Predicted lineups for England vs. Ireland
England (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford – Marc Guehi, Ezri Konsa, Kyle Walker, Rico Lewis – Conor Gallagher, Curtis Jones – Noni Madueke, Anthony Gordon, Jude Bellingham – Ollie Watkins.
Ireland (4-4-2): Caoimhin Kelleher – Matt Doherty, Liam Scales, Nathan Collins, Callum O'Dowda – Josh Cullen, Jason Knight, Festy Ebosele, Mikey Johnston – Sammy Szmodics, Evan Ferguson.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
England
The inventors of football secured a 3-0 away victory over Greece in the fifth round, convincingly avenging their home defeat (1-2). Lee Carsley's side has won 4 out of 5 group stage matches in the Nations League, amassing the same points as Greece but leading due to better head-to-head results. To guarantee their return to League A, England needs to win the upcoming match. If they earn fewer points than Greece in the final round, they will face additional matches for the right to play in the elite tier of this tournament against one of the third-placed teams from League A.
- A maximum of three goals were scored in 8 of England's last 11 Nations League matches.
- The team has not won in 4 of their last 5 home matches in this tournament (2 draws and 2 losses).
- At least two goals were scored in the second half of 6 of England's last 8 Nations League matches.
Ireland
The team defeated Finland 1-0 at home in the last round. In the current Nations League, the Irish have only secured two victories, both against Finland, who finished at the bottom of Group 2. Heimir Hallgrímsson's side avoided direct relegation to the tournament's third-tier league. Ireland has guaranteed themselves third place, which they cannot surpass, but they now face additional matches for the right to remain in League B against one of the League C teams.
Midfielder Jason Knight will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- Ireland's uncompromising streak in this tournament stands at seven matches (3 wins and 4 losses).
- A maximum of three goals were scored in 19 of Ireland's last 20 Nations League matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 7 of Ireland's last 8 away matches in the Nations League.
England vs. Ireland: Match Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is clear. England remains motivated for the final round, unlike their opponents, who cannot move from third place regardless of the match outcome. The Irish can afford a complete squad rotation, giving a chance to players with limited playing time for the national team. However, the hosts will prioritize their strongest players, allowing them to secure three points for the national team.
I believe England will secure a confident victory. The national team needs to finish the tournament on a high note, achieving a significant win over a much weaker opponent. Additionally, this will be Lee Carsley's last match as head coach, albeit in an acting capacity. Furthermore, Ireland has been very weak away from home in the Nations League, even against modest opponents, with only one win in their last 10 matches (3 draws and 6 losses).
My prediction – “England with a handicap (-1.5)”