The French Cup Round of 16 match between Le Mans and PSG will take place on February 4 at the MMArena. Le Mans vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Le Mans
Patrick Viedera's team advanced through the first three stages of the national cup with victories in regular time, but faced a tough battle in the Round of 32 against Valenciennes (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3). Notably, Le Mans has avoided defeat in regular time in their last six matches in this tournament (3 wins, 3 draws). However, the club has no significant achievements in the French Cup, with their last appearance in the Round of 16 dating back to the 2008/09 season, where they lost 0-1 to Guingamp.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Le Mans' last 7 French Cup matches.
- The team has scored in 8 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament.
- In 4 of their last 5 home matches in the French Cup, the club has not conceded more than two goals.
Predicted lineup for Le Mans (5-3-2)
Evan Hatfout – Alexandre Lorette, Theo Mouen, Harold Voye, Vincent Bourlet, Zakari Lamgahes – Martin Rossignol, Anthony Ribelain, Gaben Bernardo – Dame Gueye, Arnold Vula.
PSG
The current titleholders and the most successful team in this tournament have progressed through two stages in the current edition. Luis Enrique's side first defeated Lens (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3), and in the last round, they overcame Espaly-Saint-Marcel (4-2). It's worth noting that before winning the 2023/24 French Cup, PSG failed to progress past the Round of 16 for two consecutive years. Additionally, PSG's goal-scoring streak in the national cup stands at 11 matches.
- The team has won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament (1 draw).
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of PSG's last 8 French Cup matches.
- In 7 of their last 9 away matches in the national cup, PSG has scored at least 3 goals.
Predicted lineup for PSG (3-4-3)
Arnau Tenas – Joao Neves, Lucas Hernandez, Yoram Zague – Fabian Ruiz, Warren Zaire-Emery, Senni Mayulu, Axel Tappe-Kobrissa – Bradley Barcola, Goncalo Ramos, Desire Doue.
Referee
Abdellatif Kheradji (France)
Matches – 6 (French Cup, 2021/22–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 33%.
Match Prediction for Le Mans vs. PSG
There is little doubt about the outcome of the upcoming match. Even with a second-string lineup, which Luis Enrique is likely to field, PSG should comfortably secure a place in the quarter-finals. The intrigue, in my view, will be whether Le Mans can score at least one goal. Considering PSG's defensive record, the hosts have a decent chance.
Luis Enrique's side has conceded in 6 of their last 7 French Cup matches. In the previous stage of the tournament, PSG's goal was twice breached by a National League representative, and in the national cup, PSG has only two clean sheets in their last seven away matches.
Le Mans has a 7-match goal-scoring streak in the French Cup. Additionally, they scored against PSG in their last head-to-head encounter in the League Cup. I predict that we will see at least one goal from the hosts again. My prediction: Le Mans individual total over 0.5
