The Matchday 29 clash in the Russian Premier League between Pari NN and Fakel will take place on May 17 at the Nizhny Novgorod Stadium. Pari NN vs. Fakel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Pari NN
Viktor Goncharenko's side confidently defeated Krylia Sovetov 5-2 at home in the last round. This marked only the second significant victory for Pari NN in the Premier League, as well as the first time they scored five goals. However, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their last 12 league matches. In the standings, the club has collected 26 points, moving up to 13th place, securing their spot from direct relegation to the First League. Notably, the team has conceded 51 goals this RPL season, the worst in this category.
- The team has not lost in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the RPL (3 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 11 of their last 13 home league matches.
- Pari NN has conceded exactly one or two goals in 6 of their last 9 home matches in the Premier League.
Projected lineup for Pari NN (3-5-2)
Nikita Medvedev – Kirill Gotzuk, Viktor Aleksandrov, Sven Karic – Nikita Kakkoyev, Mamadou Maiga, Alexander Troshchekin, Ilya Agapov, Alexander Ektov – Juan Boselli, Vyacheslav Grulev.
Midfielder Konstantin Maradishvili and forward Alexander Koksharov will miss the game due to injuries. Midfielder Alexander Troshchekin is suspended.
Fakel
In the last round, Igor Shalimov's side was defeated by Lokomotiv at home (0-1). This result extended Fakel's winless streak in the league to 16 matches (6 draws, 10 losses). Furthermore, the team has failed to score in 11 of their last 12 RPL matches. Voronezh sits at the bottom of the standings with 16 points and will definitely leave the Premier League at the end of the season. The club's goal-scoring record is notably poor: Fakel has scored only 12 goals this season, the lowest in the league.
- The club has not won in their last eight away matches in the Premier League (2 draws, 6 losses).
- The team has failed to score in 6 of their last 8 away league matches.
- Voronezh has not conceded in the first half in 5 of their last 6 away RPL matches.
Projected lineup for Fakel (4-4-2)
Vitaly Gudiev – Igor Yurganov, Ryan Senhadji, Igor Kalinin, Alexander Lomovitsky – Ilnur Alshin, Mohamed Brahimi, Vyacheslav Yakimov, Irakli Kvekveskiri – Vladimir Ilyin, Alexey Kashtanov.
Defender Max Dziov will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Ivan Abrosimov (Russia)
Matches – 10 (RPL, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 10%.
Pari NN vs. Fakel: Match Prediction
In the last round, Pari NN scored five goals against Krylia Sovetov, but previously, the team did not exhibit high scoring at home this season. In their last 13 home league matches, Pari NN scored more than one goal only twice, and in five of those matches, they failed to score at all.
Fakel also struggles offensively, rarely scoring in the current Premier League season. Recently, goals have been hard to come by for the team on the road: in their last six away RPL matches, Voronezh has scored only once. Moreover, in their head-to-head encounters, the teams have not played high-scoring matches: in the last four league meetings, no more than two goals were scored.
In my opinion, this will be a low-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
