The first leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between Feyenoord (Netherlands) and AC Milan (Italy) will take place on February 12 at the Feyenoord Stadium in Rotterdam. Feyenoord vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Feyenoord
In their last group stage match, Feyenoord suffered a heavy 1-6 defeat at Lille. This loss marked the club's largest defeat in the Champions League in the 21st century. Additionally, this was the fourth time in the current edition of this European competition that the team conceded at least three goals. Nevertheless, the Dutch side secured a spot in the top 24 and advanced to the playoffs from the 19th position. Notably, Feyenoord conceded 21 goals in the group stage, the worst defensive record among all playoff participants.
Defenders Gernot Trauner and Jordan Lotomba, midfielders Ramiz Zerrouki, Chris-Kevin N'Dage, and Calvin Stengs will miss the game due to injuries. It should be noted that Feyenoord dismissed head coach Brian Priske a few days before the match against Milan, appointing Pascal Bosschaart as his replacement.
- The team scored in 8 of their last 9 home matches in the Champions League during regular time.
- At least four goals were scored in 5 of the last 6 home games of the club in this European competition over 90 minutes.
- The Dutch side conceded at least two goals in regular time in 4 of their last 5 home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Feyenoord (4-2-3-1)
Justin Bijlow – Hugo Bueno, David Hancko, Thomas Beelen, Gijs Smal – Bart Nieuwkoop, Anthony Milambo – Igor Paixao, Hwang In-beom, Anis Slimane – Julian Carranza.
Milan
In their last Champions League match, Sergio Conceicao's side lost 1-2 away to Dinamo Zagreb. As a result, Milan's five-match winning streak in the Champions League came to an end, and they missed the chance to advance directly to the Round of 16, dropping to 13th place in the standings. Notably, the Italians managed to keep a clean sheet only once in the group stage.
Defenders Emerson Royal and Alessandro Florenzi, as well as midfielders Warren Bondo and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, will not play due to injuries. Midfielder Yunus Musah is suspended.
- The club has not won in regular time in 7 of their last 10 away matches in the Champions League (3 draws, 4 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of the last 6 away games of the team in this European competition over 90 minutes.
- The Milan side conceded exactly one or two goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic, Kyle Walker – Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Youssouf Fofana – Santiago Gimenez, Tammy Abraham, Rafael Leao.
Referee
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 17%.
Feyenoord vs. Milan: Match Prediction
At home, the Dutch side creates numerous chances in front of the opponent's goal. Thanks to this attacking style, Feyenoord consistently finds the net: in their last nine home matches in the Champions League, they failed to score only once. In five of these occasions, the club breached the opponent's defense at least twice, and in their last two home games in this European competition, they scored a total of seven goals.
Milan also favors an attacking approach and aims to create chances even in away games. In the group stage of the current Champions League campaign, the team scored seven goals on the road, including three against Real Madrid. At the same time, the Italians have not been particularly strong defensively and concede regularly: in their last six away matches in this European competition, the club has not kept a clean sheet, conceding two goals even against opponents like Slovan Bratislava and Dinamo Zagreb.
I expect this to be a high-scoring encounter, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals