The Matchday 30 clash in Serie A between Fiorentina and Atalanta will take place on March 30 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. Fiorentina vs. Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side left no chance for Juventus in their last home game (3-0). This marks Fiorentina's fourth significant victory in the current Serie A season. Additionally, the team managed to win for only the second time in their last six league matches, losing the other four. In the standings, the club sits in eighth place with 48 points, just five points shy of the Champions League zone.
- The team has not lost in 16 of their last 19 home Serie A matches (11 wins, 5 draws).
- The club has conceded no more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 home games in the league.
- Fiorentina has scored no more than one goal in 6 of their last 9 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David de Gea – Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens – Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.
Defender Edoardo Bove is injured.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side suffered a 0-2 defeat at home against Inter in their last match. As a result, Atalanta's seven-match unbeaten streak in the league (4 wins, 3 draws) came to an end. Additionally, the club conceded for the first time in six Serie A matches. The defeat against the Milan side has dented Atalanta's title hopes; they remain third in the standings but are now six points behind Inter. Notably, Atalanta has the best away record in Serie A this season with 33 points.
- The team has not lost in their last 12 away Serie A matches (9 wins, 3 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 8 of Atalanta's last 11 away league matches.
- Atalanta has scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 11 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson Loures, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defender Stefan Posch, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, as well as forwards Gianluca Scamacca and Mateo Retegui, will not play due to injuries. Midfielder Ederson Loures is suspended.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 1.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 31%.
Fiorentina vs. Atalanta: Match Prediction
Home support often helps the Florentines achieve the desired results. The team focuses on active forward play and dedicates a lot of time to creativity. Fiorentina rarely struggles with scoring: in 12 of their last 14 home league matches, the players have found the net, and in eight of those, they scored at least twice. However, the team is not always reliable at the back: in their last 14 home Serie A matches, Raffaele Palladino's side kept a clean sheet only four times.
Atalanta also prefers attacking football and often scores even away from home: in 11 of their last 12 away league matches, the Bergamo side found the net, and in their last three away games, they scored 14 goals. Additionally, in this Serie A season, the team has already scored three goals in away fixtures six times.
I expect this to be a high-scoring encounter, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
