The Matchday 19 clash in Serie A between Fiorentina and Napoli will take place on January 4 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. Fiorentina vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Fiorentina vs. Napoli
Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): David De Gea – Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Fabiano Parisi – Danilo Cataldi, Yacine Adli – Andrea Colpani, Albert Gudmundsson, Riccardo Sottil – Moise Kean.
Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret – Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Juan Jesus, Mathias Olivera – Stanislav Lobotka, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres.
The starting lineup for each team in their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side drew 2-2 with Juventus in their last match away from home. As a result, Fiorentina failed to win for the third consecutive match in Serie A (1 draw, 2 losses). Additionally, the club conceded four goals in their last two league games – as many as in the ten matches prior. In the standings, the team is fifth with 32 points.
Midfielder Edoardo Bove will not play due to health reasons.
- The team has not lost in 11 of their last 12 home matches in Serie A (7 wins, 4 draws).
- Both teams scored in 14 of Fiorentina's last 16 home league games.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of Fiorentina's last 11 home matches in Serie A.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side narrowly defeated Venezia 1-0 at home in the last round. Nevertheless, Napoli claimed their third consecutive league victory and kept a clean sheet for the first time in four matches. The team has accumulated 41 points and remains second in the standings, having matched Atalanta in points but trailing on tiebreakers. It's also worth noting that Napoli has collected 20 points in away matches this season, unmatched by any other team.
Defender Alessandro Buongiorno will miss the game due to injury.
- The club has not lost in their last eight away matches in Serie A (6 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Napoli's last 7 away league games.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 5 of Napoli's last 6 away matches in Serie A.
Fiorentina vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
Fiorentina is strong at home and rarely allows opponents to create many scoring opportunities. This season, the team has played eight home matches, conceding more than one goal in only two of them. Furthermore, Fiorentina boasts one of the best defensive records in Serie A this season (15 goals conceded), second only to Napoli (12).
Antonio Conte's team often prioritizes solid defensive play, which explains their moderate scoring record: Napoli has scored 27 goals this season, ranking only sixth in the league. Additionally, in their last seven away matches in Serie A, Napoli scored more than once only three times, and in two of those instances, they faced teams with less reliable defenses – Udinese and Genoa.
I believe Fiorentina's strong defensive line at home will limit Napoli's scoring opportunities. My prediction: Napoli individual total under 1.5 goals
