The second leg of the 2024/25 Europa League Round of 16 between Fiorentina (Italy) and Panathinaikos (Greece) will take place on March 13 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. The score of the first match was 3-2 in favor of Panathinaikos. Fiorentina vs. Panathinaikos: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side lost the first match away with a score of 2-3, marking only their second defeat in this season's Europa Conference League, excluding qualifiers (4 wins, 1 draw). Furthermore, Fiorentina has consistently scored in this European competition, netting at least twice in 5 out of 7 matches. To advance to the next round, the team must win in regular time by at least two goals. Notably, the club reached the Conference League final in both previous seasons.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 11 home games in the Conference League (7 wins, 4 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of the last 10 home matches in this European competition.
- The Italians have scored in the second half in 11 of their last 12 home matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (4-3-3)
Pietro Terracciano – Fabiano Parisi, Pietro Comuzzo, Robin Gosens, Matias Moreno – Amir Richardson, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli – Lucas Beltran, Moise Kean, Dodo.
Midfielder Andrea Colpani will not play due to injury.
Panathinaikos
Rui Vitória's side secured their fifth win in six Conference League matches by winning the first leg. Additionally, Panathinaikos managed to keep a clean sheet only twice in this period. To advance to the next round, the club needs to avoid losing in regular time, and if they lose by one goal, extra time will be played. Notably, the team last reached the quarter-finals of a European competition in the 2002/03 season.
- The club has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 5 away matches in the Conference League (1 draw, 3 losses).
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the team's last five away matches in this European competition.
- The Greeks have scored in regular time in their last four away matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Panathinaikos (4-3-3)
Bartlomiej Dragowski – Sverrir Ingi Ingason, Azzedine Ounahi, Giannis Kotsiras, Filip Mladenovic – Willian Arão, Nemanja Maksimović, Manolis Siopis – Martins Tete, Karol Swiderski, Filip Djuricic.
Forward Anastasios Bakasetas is injured.
Referee
John Beaton (Scotland)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 40%.
Fiorentina vs. Panathinaikos: Match Prediction
The Italians prefer to play from a position of strength at home, focusing on an active attacking game. Fiorentina rarely faces issues in attack and stands out for its high scoring rate: in their last 20 home matches in the Conference League, the team failed to score in regular time only once. However, this style of play often leads to defensive errors, as they have kept only six clean sheets in this period.
Although Panathinaikos has not often succeeded away in the Conference League, they consistently challenge opponents' defenses. The club has scored in each of their four away matches in this tournament's current edition, including two goals against TNS in the group stage. However, the Greeks have kept just one clean sheet in their last five away encounters in the Conference League.
I expect both teams to play actively in attack. I anticipate goals from both sides, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
