The Matchday 6 clash in Serie A between Fiorentina and Roma will take place on October 5 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. Fiorentina vs. Roma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
In the last round, Stefano Pioli's side failed to overcome Pisa away (0-0). As a result, Fiorentina extended their winless streak in the league to five matches (3 draws, 2 losses). Notably, the team has only picked up points away from home this Serie A season. In the standings, the Florence club sits 16th with three points. It's also worth noting that the team has not scored more than one goal in any match this season.
- The team has not lost in 6 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A (5 wins, 1 draw).
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 7 home games in the league.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 8 Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Pablo Mari, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Jacopo Fazzini, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Robin Gosens – Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.
Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Christian Kouame will miss the match due to injuries.
Roma
Gian Piero Gasperini's side defeated Verona 2-0 at home in the last round. This victory marked Roma's fourth win in the current championship, with each win coming with a clean sheet. However, this was the first time this Serie A season that the Romans scored more than once. With 12 points, the club is third in the standings, trailing leaders AC Milan only on goal difference. Notably, Roma has conceded just one goal this season, the best defensive record in the league.
- The team has not lost in 12 of their last 13 away matches in Serie A (9 wins, 3 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of the last 10 away games in the league.
- The Romans have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 10 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Roma (3-4-3)
Mile Svilar – Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini, Zeki Celik – Devyne Rensch, Kouadio Kone, Neil El Aynaoui, Kostas Tsimikas – Stephan El Shaarawy, Artem Dovbyk, Matias Soule.
Midfielder Leon Bailey and forward Paulo Dybala will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches – 18 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 17%.
Fiorentina vs. Roma: Match Prediction
At the start of the current Serie A season, Fiorentina has been underperforming, particularly struggling with low scoring – as mentioned earlier, they have yet to score more than one goal in any match this season. Additionally, even at home, Fiorentina rarely showcases an attacking flair: in the last nine home Serie A matches, the team has scored more than once in only three games. Moreover, during this stretch, they failed to break down the defenses of Como and Parma.
The Romans are confident on the road and particularly strong defensively. Over the last 11 away league matches, the team has secured nine victories and conceded just four goals, achieving eight clean sheets during this period. Additionally, Roma boasts the best defense in the current Serie A campaign, having conceded just one goal in five rounds.
I expect the visitors to deliver another solid defensive performance, so my prediction is: Fiorentina Individual Total Under 1
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
