The Matchday 16 clash in the Bundesliga between Freiburg and Holstein Kiel will take place on January 11 at the Europa-Park Stadium. Freiburg vs. Holstein Kiel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Soren Storks (Germany)
Matches – 5 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 15;
Average yellow cards per match – 3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
Predicted lineups for Freiburg vs. Holstein Kiel
Freiburg (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu – Christian Günter, Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Lukas Kübler – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein – Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler, Ritsu Doan – Michael Gregoritsch.
Holstein Kiel (3-4-1-2): Timon Weiner – Max Geschwill, Marco Komenda, Marco Ivezić – Finn Porath, Armin Gigović, Nikolai Remberg, Lasse Rosenboom – Suto Machino – Alexander Berardsson, Phil Harris.
Each team is listed with their starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament.
Freiburg
In the last round, Julian Schuster's side suffered a 1-5 defeat to Bayer. The club has not been very successful in recent league matches, with Freiburg securing only two wins in their last eight matches in this tournament (3 draws, 3 losses). These results have dropped the team to 9th place in the Bundesliga standings, though they are just one point away from the European competition spots.
- The club has won 5 of their last 7 home matches in the league.
- Both teams scored in 14 of Freiburg's last 16 home matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of their last 7 home games in the Bundesliga.
Holstein Kiel
In Matchday 15, Marcel Rapp's side thrashed Augsburg 5-1. The Bundesliga newcomers secured their second win in this tournament, ending a five-match losing streak. The club occupies the second-to-last position in the league standings and is just two points away from the playoff zone. Notably, Holstein Kiel has conceded 38 goals in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season, the worst record among all participants.
Due to health issues, midfielder Patrick Erras will not play.
- The team has lost 5 of their last 7 away matches in the league.
- Both teams scored in Holstein Kiel's last 7 away games in the Bundesliga.
- At least three goals were scored in their last 7 away matches in this tournament.
Freiburg vs. Holstein Kiel: Match Prediction
Julian Schuster's side has no issues with scoring in home Bundesliga matches, with Freiburg finding the net in 14 of their last 16 home games in the league. Moreover, the club scored at least twice in 5 of their last 7 home encounters in this tournament. During this period, Freiburg scored at least two goals against strong teams like Stuttgart (3-1) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (3-1).
Holstein Kiel's defense in away Bundesliga games is not reliable, conceding at least two goals in all 7 away matches in the league. Even teams with modest scoring records, such as Bochum (2-2) and St. Pauli (1-3), have managed to score against Marcel Rapp's side.
I anticipate that Holstein Kiel's defense will struggle to contain the hosts' attack in the upcoming match. My prediction: Freiburg individual total over 1.5 goals
