The Bundesliga Round 9 clash between Freiburg and Mainz is set to take place on November 3 at the Europa-Park Stadium. Freiburg vs Mainz: prediction and betting tips, odds, statistics.
Referee: Benjamin Brand (Germany)
Matches – 18 (Bundesliga, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 82;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 7;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 61%.
Probable line-ups for the match Freiburg vs Mainz
Freiburg (4-5-1): Noah Atubolu – Lukas Kübler, Maximilian Rosenfelder, Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter – Patrick Osterhage, Nicolas Höfler, Ritsu Doan, Ermedin Demirović, Vincenzo Grifo – Chikwubuike Adamu.
Mainz (3-4-3): Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Moritz Jenz, Maxim Leitsch – Anthony Caci, Kaito Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene – Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-Sung, Jonathan Burkardt.
The line-ups listed for each team are from their last match in this tournament.
Freiburg
Freiburg lost their last match to RB Leipzig with a score of 1-3, extending their uncompromising streak in the Bundesliga to 9 matches (5 wins, 4 losses). Notably, Freiburg is the only team in this season's championship that has not drawn a game yet. In the Bundesliga standings, Julian Schuster's charges are in the European competition zone, occupying the 5th spot. It's worth adding that the club has won 3 of their 4 home games in the current championship.
- The number "3" has appeared in the final score in 4 out of Freiburg's last 5 Bundesliga matches.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 5 out of the team's last 6 matches in the German championship.
- Opponents exchanged goals in 12 out of 13 of the club's previous home encounters in Germany's elite division.
Mainz
Mainz ended their previous German championship match against Borussia Mönchengladbach in a 1-1 draw. Thus, Mainz failed to win in 6 out of 8 matches of the current Bundesliga season (3 draws, 3 losses) and are in 13th place in the standings, trailing their upcoming opponent by 6 points. The club also has a negative goal difference of 12:13. It's important to note that both of Mainz's victories in the current championship were achieved away from home.
- The club has not lost in 14 out of the last 17 Bundesliga matches (7 wins, 7 draws).
- Mainz's unbeaten away streak in this tournament is 7 games, with 3 victories.
- The team scored exactly 3 goals in each of their last 4 away matches in the German championship.
Freiburg vs Mainz: match prediction
Julian Schuster's team put up a worthy fight against one of the championship leaders, RB Leipzig, away from home. They even had the advantage in ball possession and made more shots on goal. At home in the current Bundesliga season, Freiburg has been performing excellently, winning 3 out of 4 matches, and scoring at least 2 goals in all their victories. However, achieving a win in the upcoming game will not be easy, as their opponent has been successful in away Bundesliga games, going unbeaten for 7 matches.
Interestingly, this series includes a match against Freiburg away from home, where Mainz secured a point last season in the Bundesliga with a 1-1 score. The club also managed to draw against Leipzig and Stuttgart during this period. Therefore, I disagree with the bookmakers who see the hosts as such clear favorites for the upcoming match. I believe that Mainz is fully capable of extending their unbeaten away streak in the championship.
And looking at the results of the last head-to-head meetings in the Bundesliga, we can see that Mainz gives their upcoming opponent a tough fight. The club has not lost to Freiburg by more than a 1-goal margin in the last 8 championship encounters (6 wins, 2 returns). Therefore, my prediction is "Mainz with a handicap (+1)" at odds of .
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