The Matchday 17 clash in Serie A between Genoa and Napoli will take place on December 21 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. Genoa vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 20 (Serie A, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 92;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 30%.
Predicted lineups for Genoa vs. Napoli
Genoa (4-2-3-1): Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Mattia Bani, Johan Vasquez, Alessandro Volacco – Milan Badelj, Morten Frendrup – Alessandro Zanoli, Morten Thorsby, Fabio Miretti – Andrea Pinamonti.
Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret – Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathias Olivera – Stanislav Lobotka, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay – Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Genoa
In the last round, Patrick Vieira's side secured a point in an away encounter against AC Milan (0-0). As a result, Genoa extended their unbeaten run in the league to six matches (2 wins, 4 draws). Furthermore, the team has not conceded in three consecutive Serie A matches for the first time since the 2021/22 season. The Genoese have accumulated 16 points and sit in 13th position in the standings, just two points clear of the relegation zone. It is also worth noting that the club has scored only 13 goals in the current league campaign, surpassing only Lecce (10).
Defender Koni De Winter, midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi, and forward Jeff Eghator will miss the match due to injuries.
- The team has not won in their last nine home matches in Serie A (6 draws, 3 losses).
- At least two goals have been scored in 10 of the club's last 12 home league matches.
- The Genoese have conceded exactly one or two goals in 7 of their last 9 home Serie A matches.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side triumphed over Udinese in their last away match (3-1). As a result, Napoli secured their 11th victory of the current Serie A season and scored at least three goals for the fourth time. However, the team has kept a clean sheet in only two of their last six league matches. In the standings, the Neapolitans have accumulated 35 points, maintaining second place with a two-point gap behind leaders Atalanta. Notably, with 11 goals conceded this season, Napoli, along with Fiorentina, ranks among the top two clubs in this category.
Defenders Pasquale Mazzocchi and Alessandro Buongiorno, as well as forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club is unbeaten in their last seven away Serie A matches (5 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of the team's last 6 away league matches.
- The Neapolitans have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 away Serie A matches.
Genoa vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
In the current league campaign, the Genoese have not performed well, especially at home, where they have yet to secure a win. However, the club has not been entirely unsuccessful, often striving for maximum results and putting up strong resistance. They faltered only against Verona (0-2) and Juventus (0-3), while in 6 of their 7 other home matches this Serie A season, the team managed to draw. There was also a narrow defeat to Fiorentina (0-1) when the Genoese held on until the middle of the second half.
Although Napoli has collected many points on the road this season, the team has only felt confident in certain matches. In only three away games, Antonio Conte's side achieved victories by more than one goal – against Cagliari (4-0), AC Milan (2-0), and Udinese (3-1). In the other five away encounters, the Neapolitans either won by a single goal or did not win at all.
It is also worth noting that Napoli has not won by at least two goals in their last nine meetings at Genoa in Serie A. My prediction: Genoa with a handicap (+1)