The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League playoff between Georgia and Armenia will take place on March 23 at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi. The first match ended 3-0 in favor of Georgia. Georgia vs. Armenia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Georgia
Willy Sagnol's side secured a very comfortable advantage in the first match, winning 3-0 away. As a result, Georgia ended their four-match winless streak in the Nations League (1 draw, 3 losses). Additionally, the team secured their second big win in this tournament's current edition. To retain their place in League B, Georgia needs to avoid losing by four or more goals in regular time.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Nations League (3 wins, 3 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Georgia's last 7 home games in this tournament.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in 5 of Georgia's last 7 home matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Georgia (3-5-2)
Giorgi Mamardashvili – Irakli Azarovi, Saba Goglichidze, Luka Lochoshvili – Otar Kakabadze, Otar Kiteishvili, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Nika Kvekveskiri – Giorgi Mikautadze, Zuriko Davitashvili.
Defender Luka Lochoshvili will miss the game due to injury.
Armenia
John van 't Schip's side left themselves with very slim chances of winning this encounter after suffering a heavy defeat in the first match. Moreover, Armenia failed to win for the fifth time in their last six Nations League matches (1 draw, 4 losses). It's also worth noting that in 9 of their last 12 games in this tournament, the team conceded at least two goals. To advance to League B, they need to win by four goals in regular time. If Armenia manages to win by three goals, extra time will be played.
- The team has not won in regular time in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Nations League (3 draws, 5 losses).
- Armenia conceded at least two goals in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 8 of Armenia's last 11 away matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Armenia (4-5-1)
Ognjen Cancarevic – Gevorg Harutyunyan, Sergei Muradyan, Varazdat Haroyan, Nair Tiknizyan – Ugochukwu Iwu, Edgar Sevikyan, Gor Manvelyan, Artak Dashyan, Tigran Barseghyan – Artur Miranyan.
Defender Hovhannes Hambardzumyan will not play due to suspension.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Georgia vs. Armenia: Match Prediction
At home, the Georgians often draw inspiration from the support of their fans, which helps them consistently achieve positive results. The team focuses on creative play, spends a lot of time in attack, and has no issues with scoring: in 12 home matches in the Nations League, Georgia has only failed to score three times. However, in this tournament's current edition, the team has yet to keep a clean sheet at home.
Armenia finds it challenging in away matches, but the team deserves credit for actively playing forward and putting pressure on opponents' defenses. In their last 11 away Nations League matches, Armenia failed to score in only three games, and in six of those encounters, they scored at least two goals. However, the team cannot boast a strong defense: in 12 away matches in this tournament, Armenia has never kept a clean sheet.
I believe this will be a high-scoring encounter where both teams will effectively play in attack. My prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes