The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Georgia and Ukraine in Group 1 of League B will take place on November 16 at the Batumi Arena. Georgia vs. Ukraine: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Georgia vs. Ukraine
Georgia (3-5-2): Giorgi Mamardashvili – Otar Kakabadze, Guram Kashia, Giorgi Gocholeishvili – Luka Lochoshvili, Giorgi Gvelesiani, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Otar Kiteishvili, Giorgi Kochorashvili – Giorgi Mikautadze, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Ukraine (4-1-4-1): Anatoliy Trubin – Vitaliy Mykolenko, Illya Zabarnyi, Mykola Matviyenko, Yukhym Konoplya – Ivan Kalyuzhnyi – Oleksiy Gutsulyak, Georgiy Sudakov, Mykola Shaparenko, Mykhailo Mudryk – Artem Dovbyk.
Georgia
The Caucasians started the current Nations League with two consecutive victories. Georgia thrashed the Czechs at home (4-1) and also defeated Albania away (1-0). However, the October matches did not go as well – the team lost to Ukraine on neutral ground and at home to Albania (both 0-1). As a result, Willy Sagnol's side dropped to second place in the group but is only one point behind the leading Czechs. Georgia will secure themselves from direct relegation to League C if they win in the fifth round.
Defender Lasha Dvali will not play due to suspension.
- At least one team has failed to score in 6 of Georgia's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- In the last 11 Nations League matches, the Caucasians have conceded only one goal in the first half.
Ukraine
Conversely, Ukraine struggled in their September Nations League matches. The team lost to Albania (1-2) and the Czech Republic (2-3). However, in October, Serhiy Rebrov's side defeated Georgia (1-0) and drew with the Czech Republic (1-1). Currently, Ukraine is in last place in the group with 4 points, but they are only 3 points behind the leader. If the team loses and Albania beats the Czechs in another match, Ukraine will be relegated to League C.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 8 Nations League matches (3 draws and 3 losses).
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in 8 of Ukraine's last 10 matches in this tournament.
- Away in the Nations League, Ukraine prefers uncompromising football – 3 wins and 5 losses.
Georgia vs. Ukraine: Match Prediction
I predict that after the fifth round of matches in Group 1, neither the winner nor the second team will be determined. The situation in the group is so complicated that all positions will be finalized in the last round. In the upcoming match, I favor a bet on a draw.
As last month's matches showed, Georgia is not flawless. The team can also fail to score and lose at home. Notably, they previously played in League C and even lost points in home matches in the third-tier division. Compromise results with Bulgaria, Estonia, and North Macedonia stand out. The team also has a home loss to Armenia. Overall, Georgia only shone in the match against the Czechs.
Ukraine has not yet drawn away in this tournament. However, I think this might happen now. Although Ukraine ranks higher than Georgia, winning away is unlikely due to the team's current form being far from ideal. A draw would satisfy both Serhiy Rebrov's side and the hosts, albeit partially.
My prediction – Draw