The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Germany and Bosnia and Herzegovina in Group 3 of League A will take place on November 16 at the Europa-Park Stadium in Freiburg. Germany vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Vassilis Fotias (Greece)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 20%.
Predicted lineups for Germany vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
Germany (4-2-3-1): Oliver Baumann – Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, Jonathan Tah, Maximilian Mittelstädt – Pascal Gross, Robert Andrich – Serge Gnabry, Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala – Kai Havertz.
Bosnia and Herzegovina (4-5-1): Nikola Vasilj – Adrian Leon Barišić, Sead Kolašinac, Ermin Bičakčić, Jusuf Gazibegović – Armin Gigović, Ivan Bašić, Denis Huseinbašić, Dženis Burnić, Ermedin Demirović – Edin Džeko.
Germany
Julian Nagelsmann's side defeated the Netherlands 1-0 at home. As a result, Germany extended their unbeaten run in the Nations League to five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). With ten points, Germany has already secured a spot among the top two teams in the group and a place in the quarter-finals. Notably, the team has been prolific in front of goal, scoring ten times, second only to Italy (11) in League A.
Defender Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended for this game.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Nations League (4 wins, 5 draws).
- Germany has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 4 of Germany's last 5 Nations League matches in regular time.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Sergej Barbarez's side suffered a 0-2 defeat at home to Hungary in the last round. As a result, Bosnia and Herzegovina extended their winless streak in the Nations League to five matches (1 draw, 4 losses). The team's position in the group has become complicated: if they lose to Germany, they will be relegated to League B. Moreover, even a draw won't suffice if Hungary doesn't defeat the Netherlands in the parallel match.
Defender Nikola Katić is suspended for this game.
- The team has not won in regular time in their last nine away matches in the Nations League (5 draws, 4 losses).
- Both opponents scored in 5 of Bosnia and Herzegovina's last 6 away matches in the Nations League in regular time.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina scored a maximum of one goal in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament.
Germany vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Match Prediction
In the Nations League, Germany hasn't always managed to achieve maximum results, even at home. Notably, the team's defensive record isn't the best: in 7 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament, Germany failed to keep a clean sheet. Furthermore, in three instances during this stretch, they conceded at least two goals.
Bosnia faces challenges in the elite division of the Nations League, but the team strives to perform well, actively attacking even in away games. In 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament, Bosnia found the back of the net, including scoring twice against the Netherlands on their turf. It's worth noting that Bosnia and Herzegovina also scored against Germany in the third round (1-2).
I believe Sergej Barbarez's side will try to use their last chance to retain their place in League A and will show their attacking prowess. I expect the away team to score at least one goal, so my prediction: Bosnia and Herzegovina individual total over 0.5