Portugal vs Germany: prediction & betting odds June 4, 2025

The Nations League 2024/25 semifinal between Germany and Portugal will take place on June 4 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Germany vs. Portugal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Germany

Germany began their first playoff appearance in the Nations League with a clash against Italy. After defeating their opponents 2-1 away, Julian Nagelsmann's team scored three goals in the first half of the return leg but eventually drew 3-3. Thus, Germany remains unbeaten in this tournament, with 5 wins and 3 draws. Their goal-scoring streak in the Nations League now stands at 9 matches. Additionally, the team leads the 2024/25 Nations League in scoring with 23 goals.

• Germany has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
• On home soil, the team has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 12 Nations League matches (5 wins, 6 draws).
• In 6 of their last 8 home games in the Nations League, Germany has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Germany (3-5-2)

Marc-André ter Stegen – Waldemar Anton, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Jonathan Tah – Joshua Kimmich, Serge Gnabry, Florian Wirtz, Pascal Groß, Leon Goretzka – Leroy Sané, Nick Woltemade.

Due to injuries, defenders Nico Schlotterbeck, Antonio Rüdiger, and midfielder Jamal Musiala are not included in the squad, while forward Kai Havertz is working on his fitness. However, goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen has been called up after recovering from a serious injury. Additionally, Angelo Stiller, Jan Bisseck, and Nadiem Amiri have been replaced by Thilo Kehrer in the squad.

Portugal

Roberto Martinez's team faced a tougher challenge in the previous stage of the tournament than Germany. In Denmark, Portugal lost 0-1, but in the return leg, they managed to secure the necessary advantage (3-2, extra time 2-0). Notably, the defeat to the Scandinavians is Portugal's only loss in the 2024/25 Nations League (5 wins and 2 draws in regular time), although they conceded in 7 matches during this period. Additionally, the team has reached the Nations League semifinals for the first time since the 2018/19 season, when they won the tournament.

• Both teams scored in 6 of Portugal's last 8 Nations League matches.
• Away from home, the team has not won in 5 of their last 7 Nations League matches (3 draws, 2 losses).
• In 7 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, Portugal has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)

Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Diogo Dalot – Vitinha, João Neves, Bruno Fernandes, João Felix – Rafael Leão, Cristiano Ronaldo, Pedro Neto.

Defenders Tomas Araujo and João Cancelo are unavailable due to injuries.

Referee

Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 14%.

Match Prediction: Germany vs. Portugal

The current Nations League final is being held in Germany, and this factor is likely to benefit Julian Nagelsmann's team. The Germans have won three and drawn one of their home matches in the current tournament. Moreover, they have only suffered one home defeat in the Nations League. It's worth noting the team's scoring prowess: a total of 19 goals were scored in the aforementioned four matches.

Portugal also performs well on home soil, but their results on the road are less impressive. In the last seven away Nations League matches, the team has only two victories (3 draws, 2 losses). Furthermore, Roberto Martinez's side lacks defensive solidity in the current tournament, conceding in 7 out of 8 matches.

Germany has a good chance to capitalize on their home advantage and once again delight their fans with a high-scoring performance. My prediction: Germany will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals