The 2024/25 Nations League semifinal between Germany and Portugal will be held on June 4 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Germany vs. Portugal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Germany
Germany kicked off their first Nations League playoff campaign against Italy. After defeating their opponents 2-1 away, Julian Nagelsmann's team scored three goals in the first half of the return leg but eventually settled for a 3-3 draw. Thus, Germany remains unbeaten in this tournament, with five wins and three draws. Their scoring streak in the Nations League now spans nine matches. Additionally, the team leads the 2024/25 Nations League in scoring with 23 goals.
- Germany has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- At home, the team has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 12 Nations League games (5 wins, 6 draws).
- In 6 of their last 8 home Nations League matches, Germany has conceded no more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Germany (3-5-2)
Marc-André ter Stegen – Waldemar Anton, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Jonathan Tah – Joshua Kimmich, Serge Gnabry, Florian Wirtz, Pascal Groß, Leon Goretzka – Leroy Sané, Nick Woltemade.
Due to injuries, defenders Nico Schlotterbeck, Antonio Rüdiger, and midfielder Jamal Musiala are not included in the squad, while forward Kai Havertz needs to regain form. However, goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, who has recovered from a serious injury, received a call-up. There was also a squad change with Angelo Stiller, Jan Bisseck, and Nadiem Amiri replaced by Thilo Kehrer.
Portugal
Roberto Martinez's team had a tougher time in the previous round than the Germans. In Denmark, Portugal lost 0-1, but they managed to secure the necessary advantage in the return leg (3-2, with extra time 2-0). Notably, the defeat to the Scandinavians is Portugal's only loss in the 2024/25 Nations League (5 wins and 2 draws in regular time), although they conceded in 7 matches during this period. This is the first time Portugal has reached the Nations League semifinals since the 2018/19 season when they won the tournament.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Portugal's last 8 Nations League matches.
- The team has not won in 5 of their last 7 away Nations League games (3 draws, 2 losses).
- In 7 of their previous away matches in this tournament, Portugal has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)
Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Diogo Dalot – Vitinha, João Neves, Bruno Fernandes, João Félix – Rafael Leão, Cristiano Ronaldo, Pedro Neto.
Defenders Tomás Araújo and João Cancelo are unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 14%.
Germany vs. Portugal: Match Prediction
The current Nations League final is being held in Germany, which will certainly play to the advantage of Julian Nagelsmann's team. In this tournament, Germany has won three matches and drawn once at home. Moreover, throughout the Nations League, the team has suffered only one home defeat. It is also worth noting the team's scoring prowess: in the aforementioned four matches, a total of 19 goals were scored.
Portugal also performs well at home, but their away results are less impressive. In their last seven away Nations League matches, the team has only two wins (3 draws, 2 losses). Furthermore, Roberto Martinez's team lacks defensive reliability in the current tournament, having conceded in 7 of 8 matches.
Germany has a good chance to capitalize on their home advantage and once again delight their fans with a high-scoring game. My prediction: Germany will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
