Greece vs England: betting odds November 14, 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Greece and England in Group 2 of League B will take place on November 14 at the Spiros Louis Stadium in Athens. Greece vs. England: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Daniel Siebert (Germany)

Matches – 16 (International matches, 2023–2024);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 91;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 38%.

Predicted lineups for Greece vs. England

Greece (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos – Konstantinos Mavropanos, Kostas Koulierakis, Dimitris Giannoulis, Lazaros Rota – Manolis Siopis, Dimitrios Pelkas – Georgios Masouras, Anastasios Bakasetas, Christos Tzolis – Vangelis Pavlidis.

England (4-3-3): Jordan Pickford – Marc Guehi, Valentino Livramento, Kyle Walker, Rico Lewis – Conor Gallagher, Angel Gomes, Curtis Jones – Jarrod Bowen, Anthony Gordon, Jude Bellingham.

Greece

The Greeks confidently lead Group 2, having won all four matches. Three of these victories were with a clean sheet, and the only goal Ivan Jovanovic's side conceded was away to England (2-1). Only Spain in the top two leagues of the tournament can boast such a defense (also one goal conceded). If Greece avoids defeat in this match, they will secure promotion to League A.

Midfielder Dimitrios Kourbelis will miss the match due to suspension.

• The team has suffered only one defeat in their last 16 Nations League matches (12 wins and 3 draws).
• At least one team failed to score in 12 of Greece's last 14 games in this tournament.
• Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 6 of Greece's last 8 Nations League matches.

England

Lee Carsley's side defeated Finland 3-1 away in the last round. This was their third victory in the current Nations League campaign. Due to their only defeat to Greece, the team is second in Group 2. To maintain a chance of returning to League A, England needs a win in the upcoming match. A draw guarantees second place in the group, which means additional playoff matches with one of the second-placed teams from League A for the right to play in the next edition of the tournament's elite.

Lee Carsley will lead the team in the November matches, after which Thomas Tuchel will take over as head coach, with his contract starting on January 1, 2025.

• England has not won in 7 of their last 10 Nations League matches (3 draws and 4 losses).
• At least one team failed to score in 9 of England's last 13 games in this tournament.
• The team has conceded in 5 of their last 6 away Nations League matches.

Greece vs. England: Match Prediction

Despite Greece leading the group and having defeated England on their home turf, the visitors are the favorites for the upcoming match. However, I believe the hosts have every chance to at least avoid defeat and secure a spot in League A. Greece currently boasts an excellent team that has not lost at the official level for seven matches (5 wins and 2 draws). Moreover, in the last six official matches, Greece has conceded only one goal.

The last time Greece lost at home by two or more goals was in June 2019 against Italy. Since then, the team has played 21 official home matches and lost only three times (all losses were by one goal). In the Nations League, Greece has only one defeat by two goals. Meanwhile, England has won only two away matches in this tournament by more than one goal.

I expect the hosts to focus primarily on defense and aim not to concede. To some extent, a minimal defeat would suffice for Greece, as they have a much better goal difference. It's unlikely that England will win convincingly in Athens.

My prediction – Greece with a handicap (+1)