The rescheduled Bundesliga Matchday 17 fixture between Hamburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will take place on 4 March at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's side were second-best against Leipzig in last round's home clash (1:2). As a result, Hamburg have failed to win eight of their last 10 league matches (five draws, three defeats). However, the home side have extended their Bundesliga scoring run to five games. The club have 26 points to their name and sit 11th in the standings.
- The team have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight home matches in the Bundesliga (three wins, four draws).
- Both sides have scored in seven of the club's previous eight home league games.
- Hamburg have conceded at home in eight of their last nine matches in this competition.
Potential Hamburg Lineup (3-4-3)*
Daniel Heuer Fernandes – Jordan Torunarigha, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic – Ransford Konigsdorffer, Nicolai Remberg, William Mikelbrencis, Miro Muheim – Fabio Vieira, Damion Downs, Philip Otele.
Forwards Albert Gronbaek and Alexanders Rosing-Lelesiit will miss the match through injury.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Kasper Hjulmand's men were unable to break down Mainz on home soil last time out (1:1). As a result, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have avoided defeat in five of their last six Bundesliga matches (three wins, two draws). However, they have kept a clean sheet in only one game during that spell. The visitors have collected 40 points and occupy sixth place in the standings, with the gap to the Champions League places now up to six points.
- The club have not conceded more than one goal in seven straight league matches.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen have avoided defeat in 41 of their previous 45 away matches in the Bundesliga (28 wins, 13 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in five of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last seven matches in this competition.
Potential Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)*
Janis Blaswich – Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Ignacio Fernandez, Jonas Hofmann, Arthur, Alejandro Grimaldo – Exequiel Palacios, Patrik Schick, Ernest Poku.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken and forward Nathan Tella are injured.
Referee
Soren Storks (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 5;
Fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 30%.
Hamburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Match Prediction
Since returning to the Bundesliga, Hamburg have looked fairly confident on home soil and try to play proactively going forward, creating as many dangerous moments as possible in front of the opposition goal. Across their last eight home league matches, the team have left the pitch without scoring only once, while they have found the net at least twice in four games. At the same time, the hosts have not stood out for defensive reliability: in eight of their previous nine home Bundesliga matches, Hamburg have conceded.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen do not move away from their attacking approach even on the road and carry plenty of goal threat. Across their last 18 away league games, the team have failed to score only four times, and in one of those cases Bayer 04 Leverkusen were up against Bayern Munich. What is more, in 11 matches during that period, the club scored at least two goals. On the other hand, across their previous 14 away Bundesliga matches, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have not kept a single clean sheet.
We are expecting both sides to be effective in the final third. Our pick: Both teams to score – Yes.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting line-up listed is from their previous match in this competition.
