The German Cup Round of 16 match between Hamburg and Holstein Kiel will take place on December 3 at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg vs. Holstein Kiel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's team reached this stage by consecutively defeating Pirmasens (1-1, extra time 1-0) and Heidenheim (1-0). Over the past six seasons, Hamburg has only reached the Round of 16 of the national Cup twice and advanced past this round just once. Notably, in their last ten matches in this tournament, the team has managed to score more than one goal in 90 minutes in only three games.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Hamburg's last 8 home matches in the German Cup during regular time.
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 90 minutes in eight of their previous home games in this tournament.
- Hamburg has conceded in regular time in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the national Cup.
Predicted lineup for Hamburg (3-4-3)
Daniel Heuer – Jordan Torunarigha, Miro Muheim, Luka Vušković – Alexander Rößing-Lelesiit, Nikolai Remberg, Albert Sambi Lokonga, William Mikelbrancis – Ryan Philipp, Robert Glatzel, Nicolas Capaldo.
Defender Warmed Omari and forward Robert Glatzel will miss the match due to injuries.
Holstein Kiel
Marcel Rapp's team also started from the Round of 64, where they defeated Homburg away (2-0). Holstein Kiel then overcame a Bundesliga opponent, winning 1-0 in an away match against Wolfsburg. As a result, the club has reached the Round of 16 of the German Cup for only the third time since the 2012/13 season, advancing further only once during this period. In regular time, Holstein Kiel has lost just once in their last seven national Cup matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team has won 4 of their last 5 away matches in the German Cup.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 8 of Holstein Kiel's last 10 away matches in this tournament in 90 minutes.
- Holstein Kiel has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 10 of their last 14 away matches in the national Cup.
Predicted lineup for Holstein Kiel (4-5-1)
Jonas Krumrey – Lasse Rosenbom, Marco Ivezic, Marco Komenda, John Tolkin – Alexander Bernhardsson, Magnus Knudsen, Jonas Terkelsen, Kasper Davidsen, Adrian Kapralik – Phil Harres.
Defender John Tolkin and midfielder Steven Skrzybski will be unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Tobias Welz (Germany)
Matches – 5 (Bundesliga and German Cup, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 20%.
Hamburg vs. Holstein Kiel: Match Prediction
In cup matches, Hamburg rarely delivers a bright and productive performance to please their fans. Even at home, the club does not score much: in their last 11 home matches in the German Cup, Hamburg has never scored more than two goals in regular time. Moreover, the team has scored at most once in regular time in eight of these matches.
Holstein Kiel, while not consistently successful in away cup matches, has recently shown reliability in defense. In their last six national Cup matches, the team has kept a clean sheet in regular time four times and only conceded more than two goals once.
I expect strong defensive play from the visitors, and my prediction: Hamburg Individual Total Under 2
