The Matchday 24 Bundesliga fixture between Hoffenheim and St. Pauli will take place on 28 February at the PreZero Arena in Sinsheim. Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Hoffenheim
In the last round, Hoffenheim drew 2:2 with Koln. The team currently sit third in the German top flight with 46 points, and the club had only previously achieved a similar level of success in the 2017/18 season. Their home record in Sinsheim also deserves special attention: the team have now gone eight matches unbeaten on their own turf, while posting impressive numbers in attack—an average of 2.45 goals per game. Such results give Christian Ilzer's side a realistic chance of pushing for even higher positions in the standings and possibly securing European football at the end of the campaign.
- At least three goals were scored in six of the team's last eight league matches.
- Hoffenheim have won eight of their 11 home games in the 2025/26 Bundesliga (three defeats).
- The club have scored at least three goals in seven of their last eight matches in this competition at their own stadium.
Potential Hoffenheim Lineup (4-5-1)*
Oliver Baumann – Albian Hajdari, Ozan Kabak, Robin Granac, Vladimir Coufal – Bazoumana Toure, Leon Avdullahu, Grischa Promel, Andrej Kramaric, Wouter Burger – Fisnik Asllani.
Defender Koki Machida, as well as forwards Tim Lemperle, Adam Hlozek and Cole Campbell, will miss out through injury.
St. Pauli
Last round's 2:1 win over their neighbours in the standings, Werder, was the team's fifth victory of the season (five draws, 13 defeats), and it helped St. Pauli move a little closer to the possibility of staying in the Bundesliga next season. As things stand, the team are 16th in the standings with 20 points. The club have struggled with chance creation and finishing: they have scored 22 goals in 23 rounds, and just nine away from home. Their defence has also been far from perfect, having already conceded 41 goals—one of the worst records in the league.
- At least two goals were scored in eight of the team's last nine away league matches.
- Across their previous six away games in the Bundesliga, the club have suffered four defeats (two draws).
- Both teams scored in six of St. Pauli's last eight matches in this competition.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Danel Sinani – Manolis Saliakas, Martijn Kaars.
Referee
Deniz Aytekin (Germany)
Matches – 6 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Fouls per match on average – 21;
Penalties – 33%.
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, the hosts' chances of a comfortable win look especially high. Hoffenheim are currently in good form and determined to strengthen their position in the standings, while the visitors are going through a difficult spell. In this matchup, there is not a single factor that could prevent Hoffenheim from getting on the scoresheet. St. Pauli are among the five teams that concede the most in the league: after 23 matches, the Hamburg club have let in 40 goals, 22 of which came in away fixtures. What is more, across 12 away games, Alexander Blessin's men have managed just one win—and that came in the opening round against local rivals.
Hoffenheim, meanwhile, consistently produce a high scoring output at home—scoring at least three goals in seven of their last eight home matches. With an attack like the one the hosts possess, and such an unreliable defence on the part of the away side, this game could easily turn into a genuine football spectacle, packed with dangerous chances and goals. Given the current situation, the hosts are clear favourites. The team are aiming to extend their winning run and intend to take full advantage of any mistakes their opponents make.
Prediction: Hoffenheim, double chance + Over 2.5 goals
* Each team is listed with the starting XI from its last match in this competition.
