The Italian Super Cup final between Inter and Milan will take place on January 6 at the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Inter vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 29%.
Predicted lineups for Inter vs. Milan
Inter (3-5-2): Yann Sommer – Yann-Aurel Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, Alessandro Bastoni – Denzel Dumfries, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.
Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Fikayo Tomori, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Ismael Bennacer, Christian Pulisic, Alejandro Jimenez – Alvaro Morata.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
Inter
In the semifinal, the team faced Atalanta and secured a 2-0 victory, scoring both goals after the break. Inter is the winner of the last three editions of the Italian Super Cup and could win their ninth trophy. Notably, the club won and kept a clean sheet in regular time in the last four matches of this tournament.
Defenders Francesco Acerbi and Benjamin Pavard, as well as forward Marcus Thuram, will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has won in regular time in their last seven matches in Serie A and the Coppa Italia.
- The team has scored at least two goals in regular time in the last seven matches in Italian tournaments.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 90 minutes in 8 of Inter's last 10 matches in the league and national cup.
Milan
The team defeated Juventus 2-1 in the semifinal and will play in the final match of this tournament for the 13th time. Milan's last final was in the 2022/23 season, where the club lost to Inter 0-3. Notably, the club has failed to score in both of their previous Italian Super Cup final appearances.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, as well as forwards Samuel Chukwueze and Noah Okafor, will miss the game due to injuries.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 matches in the league and national cup (5 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has conceded no more than one goal in 90 minutes in the last four matches in Italian tournaments.
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in regular time in Milan's last five matches in Serie A and the Coppa Italia.
Inter vs. Milan: Match Prediction
Simone Inzaghi's side is justifiably seen as the favorite in this encounter. Inter's current form is impressive, with a seven-match winning streak across all Italian competitions. Also noteworthy is the team's 6-0 away thrashing of a strong Lazio side in the league. Additionally, the club has won "to nil" in five of their last Serie A and Coppa Italia matches.
Milan's recent results cannot be deemed unsatisfactory, but the team clearly lacked stability—Paulo Fonseca's dismissal was not a surprise. New head coach Sergio Conceicao is still adapting to the club, and despite the victory over Juventus in his first match in charge, I do not expect Milan to perform miracles against an in-form Inter.
I anticipate another strong performance from Simone Inzaghi's men. My prediction: Inter win
