The Matchday 12 clash in Serie A between Inter and Milan will take place on November 23 at the San Siro Stadium in Milan. Inter vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Inter
Christian Chivu's side triumphed over Lazio in their last home match (2-0). As a result, Inter claimed their seventh victory in the last eight league matches, achieving a clean sheet for the fifth time in this Serie A campaign. Notably, the club has scored the most goals in the current championship (26 goals). Inter has accumulated 24 points and climbed to the top of the standings, ahead of second-placed Roma on goal difference.
- The team has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 Serie A matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of the club's last 11 league encounters.
- Inter has not conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Inter (3-5-2)
Yann Sommer – Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Francesco Acerbi – Denzel Dumfries, Petar Sucic, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Ange-Yoan Bonny.
Defender Matteo Darmian and midfielder Henrikh Mkhitaryan will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Denzel Dumfries is also at risk of missing the game due to an injury.
Milan
In the last round, Massimiliano Allegri's side dropped points in an away match against Parma (2-2). Nevertheless, Milan extended their unbeaten run in the league to ten matches (6 wins, 4 draws). However, the team conceded more than one goal for the third time in this Serie A campaign. The club is in third place in the standings with 22 points.
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the club's last 7 league encounters.
- Milan has not won the second half in 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
Predicted lineup for Milan (3-5-2)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic – Pervis Estupinan, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Rafael Leao – Alexis Saelemaekers, Christopher Nkunku.
Forward Santiago Gimenez might miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 18;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 40%.
Inter vs. Milan: Match Prediction
I expect a vibrant attacking display from both teams in this derby. Both sides are aiming for maximum points due to their league positions and have shown very productive play in the current championship. Inter is leading in goals scored in this Serie A campaign, having netted 26 times in 11 rounds. Moreover, in 7 of their last 9 league matches, Christian Chivu's team has scored at least twice.
Milan has scored 17 goals in this Serie A season and is among the top three most productive teams in the league. Furthermore, in the last 16 league matches, the team failed to score only once – in an away match against Juventus. However, Massimiliano Allegri's side has been less reliable defensively in recent games, conceding six goals in their last five Serie A matches.
Considering that in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head league encounters, the teams have scored at least three goals combined, I anticipate another high-scoring game in the Milan derby. My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
