Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Inter Milan (Italy) and RB Leipzig (Germany) will take place on November 26 at the San Siro Stadium in Milan. Inter vs. Leipzig: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: João Pinheiro (Portugal)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 50;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
Predicted lineups for Inter vs. Leipzig
Inter (3-5-2): Yann Sommer – Benjamin Pavard, Stefan de Vrij, Alessandro Bastoni – Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Barella, Davide Frattesi, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.
Leipzig (3-4-2-1): Péter Gulácsi – El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Willi Orban, Lukas Klostermann – Antonio Nusa, Kevin Kampl, Arthur Vermeeren, Benjamin Henrichs – Christoph Baumgartner, Yussuf Poulsen – Lois Openda.
Inter
After four Champions League rounds, only six clubs remain unbeaten, including Inter Milan, who have collected 10 points. Inter drew 0-0 away at Manchester City in the opening round, followed by three clean-sheet victories: at home against Red Star Belgrade (4-0) and Arsenal (1-0), and away at Young Boys (1-0). Notably, Inter and Atalanta are the only clubs yet to concede a goal in the main stage of the Champions League.
Midfielder Hakan Çalhanoğlu will miss the match due to injury.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Inter's last 7 Champions League matches.
- Inter has suffered just one defeat in 90 minutes in their last 12 matches in this tournament (7 wins, 4 draws).
- The Italians have not conceded in the first half in seven consecutive home games in the Champions League.
Leipzig
The German club unexpectedly found themselves among the bottom five teams without a point after four rounds. In the first three matches, Leipzig faced strong opponents and lost to Atletico Madrid (1-2), Juventus (2-3), and Liverpool (0-1). In the last round, the team was defeated 3-1 away by a more modest Celtic side. Leipzig's winless streak in the Champions League now stands at six matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
Midfielders Xavi Simons, Xaver Schlager, and Elif Elmas, defender David Raum, and forward Yussuf Poulsen will miss the match due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Leipzig's last 12 games in this tournament.
- The club scored first in 7 of their last 10 Champions League matches.
Inter vs. Leipzig: Match Prediction
Marco Rose's side has had a challenging Champions League schedule, facing top opponents, with upcoming matches against Aston Villa and Sporting. It's unlikely the Germans will advance to the next stage, as they even struggled against Celtic. Nevertheless, the visitors will certainly try to score against Inter. Leipzig has found the net in 10 of their last 12 Champions League matches.
Inter is adept at counter-attacking their opponents. The Milan side is in a position to play defensively, unlike the Germans, who have no choice but to take risks and attack more, leaving their defense exposed. At home, Inter is unbeaten in 11 consecutive Champions League matches (9 wins, 2 draws). It's unlikely this streak will end.
Therefore, the optimal prediction is 1X and Both Teams to Score – Yes
