The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Ireland and Finland in Group 2 of League B will take place on November 14 at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin. Ireland vs. Finland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Harm Osters (Germany)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Ireland vs. Finland
Ireland (3-5-1-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Dara O'Shea, Liam Scales, Nathan Collins – Callum O'Dowda, Josh Cullen, Sammie Szmodics, Jason Knight, Casey McAteer – Finn Azaz – Evan Ferguson.
Finland (4-3-3): Lukas Hradecky – Jere Uronen, Arttu Hoskonen, Nikolai Alho, Robert Ivanov – Rasmus Schüller, Kaan Kairinen, Glen Kamara – Robin Lod, Joel Pohjanpalo, Daniel Håkans.
Ireland
Heimir Hallgrímsson's side has only one win after four rounds, which they achieved against Finland (2-1). In the other three matches, the team lost without scoring. In the previous round, Ireland lost to Greece (0-2) and nearly lost their chances of competing for the top two spots in the group. To finish second, Ireland needs two wins, including a large-margin victory over England. Additionally, England must lose all remaining matches. To avoid relegation to League C, Ireland just needs to avoid defeat in the upcoming match.
- At least two goals have been scored in Ireland's last eight Nations League games.
- The number "2" appeared in the final score in six of Ireland's last matches in this tournament.
- At least one team failed to score in 9 of Ireland's last 10 home Nations League matches.
Finland
Finland has lost all four matches in the current Nations League. In September, the team suffered away defeats to Greece (0-3) and England (0-2) without scoring, and in October, they lost at home to Ireland (1-2) and England (1-3). The team has already lost the chance to finish in the top two but still has a chance to fight for staying in League B. To do so, Finland needs a win over Ireland, ideally by two goals, to have an advantage in head-to-head encounters if points are tied at the end of the group stage.
- Two or more goals have been scored in Finland's last seven matches in this tournament.
- Finland's uncompromising away run in the Nations League stands at 11 matches (4 wins and 7 losses).
- The team conceded first in 5 of their last 6 away Nations League matches.
Ireland vs. Finland: Match Prediction
This is a meeting of the bottom teams in Group 2. The head-to-head clash will decide the fate of the last spot in the group. The third position will not retain a place in League B, but it will offer a chance to compete against a League C team that finishes second in their group. Ireland has a better chance of avoiding direct relegation, having already beaten Finland. With this advantage, the hosts, in my opinion, will aim to at least draw, playing very cautiously in defense.
Ireland knows how to "dry up" matches. In 8 of their last 10 home Nations League games, no more than two goals were scored, and in eight of these matches, Ireland themselves did not score. In only 3 of these 10 matches did Ireland's opponents score more than once. Finland, meanwhile, failed to score in 5 of their last 11 away Nations League games, scored once in three games, and only managed two goals in three matches.
Therefore, I expect a low-scoring encounter. There might be many fouls and warnings, but Ireland will not score and will not allow Finland to score either. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals