The Matchday 6 clash in the Nations League between Italy and France in Group 2 of League A will take place on November 17 at the San Siro Stadium in Milan. Italy vs. France: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Slavko Vinčić (Slovenia)
Matches – 18 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 6%.
Predicted lineups for Italy vs. France
Italy (3-5-2): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Alessandro Buongiorno, Alessandro Bastoni, Giovanni Di Lorenzo – Federico Dimarco, Davide Frattesi, Nicolo Rovella, Nicolo Barella, Andrea Cambiaso – Sandro Tonali, Mateo Retegui.
France (4-3-3): Mike Maignan – Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Ibrahima Konate, Theo Hernandez – Warren Zaire-Emery, N'Golo Kante, Eduardo Camavinga – Michael Olise, Randal Kolo Muani, Bradley Barcola.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Italy
Luciano Spalletti's side defeated Belgium 1-0 away in the last round. This victory marked Italy's fifth win in their last six Nations League matches. With 13 points, the team leads their group and has already secured a spot in the quarter-finals of the tournament. Notably, with 12 goals, Italy is the highest-scoring team in League A.
- The team has won in regular time in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Italy's last 7 home games in the Nations League.
- Italy has scored exactly one or two goals in regular time in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Nations League.
France
Didier Deschamps' side couldn't break down Israel at home in the last round, resulting in a 0-0 draw. This ended France's three-match winning streak in the Nations League. In the standings, France has ten points and holds second place in the group, along with a ticket to the quarter-finals. However, France will take the top spot if they manage to defeat Italy by at least two goals.
Midfielder Eduardo Camavinga will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 away matches in the Nations League (5 wins, 2 draws).
- Both opponents scored in 90 minutes in 5 of France's last 7 away matches in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 7 of France's last 8 away matches in the Nations League.
Italy vs. France: Match Prediction
In home Nations League matches, Italy usually takes the initiative and plays proactively. This approach has yielded goals, as in 12 home matches in this tournament, Italy has only failed to score in regular time once. However, in 6 of their last 7 home games, they have also allowed their opponents to score.
France also favors an attacking style and scores regularly, even away from home. In 9 of their last 10 away Nations League matches, France has breached their opponents' defenses in regular time, scoring at least twice in five of those games. However, they have also been vulnerable defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last seven away matches.
I expect a high-scoring encounter from both teams in this match, and my prediction: Both teams to score – yes