The second leg of the 2024/25 Conference League playoff match between Jagiellonia (Poland) and TSC Bačka Topola (Serbia) will take place on February 20 at the Miejski Stadium in Białystok. The first match ended with a 3-1 victory for Jagiellonia. Jagiellonia vs. TSC Bačka Topola: prediction and statistics.
Jagiellonia
Adrian Semenec's side secured a solid advantage in this tie with a 3-1 away win in the first match. As a result, Jagiellonia ended a three-game winless streak in the Conference League (2 draws, 1 loss). Additionally, the team scored exactly three goals for the third time in their last five matches in this European competition. To advance to the next round, the Polish side needs to avoid a defeat by three goals or more in regular time. Notably, the club has never reached the Round of 16 in any European competition before.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 matches in the Conference League (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team conceded a maximum of one goal in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 matches in this European competition.
- The Polish side scored at least two goals in regular time in 5 of their last 7 Conference League matches.
Projected lineup for Jagiellonia (4-3-3)
Sławomir Abramowicz – Norbert Wojtuszek, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Enzo Ebosse, João Gervásio Moutinho – Leon Flach, Jarosław Kubicki, Miki Villar – Afimico Pululu, Jesús Imaz, Darko Churlinov.
TSC Bačka Topola
Jovan Damjanović's side suffered their fourth defeat in the current Conference League campaign after losing the first match (2 wins, 1 draw). Moreover, TSC Bačka Topola conceded exactly three goals for the third consecutive match in this European competition. To progress to the next round, the team needs to win by at least three goals in 90 minutes, while a two-goal victory will result in extra time. Notably, the club has never reached the Round of 16 in any European competition before.
- The team has not won in regular time in 5 of their last 7 matches in the Conference League (1 draw, 4 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 90 minutes in six of their previous matches in this European competition.
- The Serbian side conceded at least two goals in regular time in 5 of their last 6 Conference League matches.
Projected lineup for TSC Bačka Topola (4-3-3)
Veljko Ilić – Viktor Radojević, Luka Capan, Miloš Degenek, Mateja Đorđević – Petar Stanić, Ivan Milosavljević, Milan Radin – Stefan Jovanović, Marko Lazetić, Prestige Mboungou.
Defender Luka Capan is suspended for this match.
Referee
Allard Lindhout (Netherlands)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 25%.
Jagiellonia vs. TSC Bačka Topola: Match Prediction
This year's Conference League is Jagiellonia's debut, and the team has performed well in the tournament. The Polish side has been particularly effective in attack, not hesitating to push forward in numbers. As a result, in 5 of their 7 matches in the Conference League this season, they have scored at least two goals.
The Serbian side has played in a similar style in this European competition, scoring in all but one of their last five Conference League matches, totaling 11 goals. However, the club has also been prone to defensive errors, failing to keep a clean sheet in all seven of their matches in the current tournament, and conceding three goals on four occasions.
I expect both teams to play aggressively in attack and deliver goals. My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
* Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
