The Supercoppa Italiana semi-final between Juventus and AC Milan will take place on January 3 at the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Juventus vs. AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 14%.
Predicted lineups for Juventus vs. AC Milan
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Michele Di Gregorio – Nicolo Savona, Pierre Kalulu, Federico Gatti, Weston McKennie – Manuel Locatelli, Khéphren Thuram – Samuel Mbangula, Teun Koopmeiners, Francisco Conceição – Dusan Vlahovic.
AC Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Matteo Gabbia, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Samuel Chukwueze, Filippo Terracciano, Alejandro Jimenez – Alvaro Morata.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match is listed.
Juventus
The club earned their spot in this tournament by winning the national cup last season, defeating Atalanta 1-0 in the final. This marks the 18th time Juventus has participated in the Supercoppa Italiana, claiming victory on nine occasions. The team last competed in the tournament in the 2021/22 season, losing the decisive match to Inter (1-1, extra time 0-1).
Defenders Gleison Bremer and Juan Cuadrado, midfielder Timothy Weah, and forward Arkadiusz Milik will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has not lost in regular time in their last 25 matches in Serie A and the Coppa Italia (10 wins, 15 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the team's last five matches in Italian tournaments.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 5 of Juventus's last 6 matches in the league and national cup.
AC Milan
Finishing second in last season's league allowed AC Milan to participate in the Supercoppa Italiana. The team will compete in this tournament for the 13th time, having won it seven times. They missed the previous edition but lost the decisive match to Inter 0-3 in the 2022/23 season. Notably, the team will be under the guidance of a new head coach, Sérgio Conceição, who replaced Paulo Fonseca.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, midfielders Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Yunus Musah, Christian Pulisic, and forwards Rafael Leao and Noah Okafor will miss the game due to injuries.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 8 of their last 9 matches in the league and Coppa Italia (4 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has scored no more than once in 90 minutes in their last four matches in Italian tournaments.
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of AC Milan's last 7 matches in Serie A and the Coppa Italia.
Juventus vs. AC Milan: Match Prediction
Juventus started the season with an impressive defensive record in the league, not conceding until the seventh round. However, their defensive reliability has decreased over time, and recently, Juventus has allowed their opponents to score regularly. In their last six matches in Serie A and the Coppa Italia, the team kept a clean sheet only once – in a cup match against Cagliari. In half of these games, they conceded two goals.
Although AC Milan's scoring rate has declined in recent matches, the club rarely fails to breach their opponent's defense, often managing at least one goal. In their last eight encounters in Italian tournaments, AC Milan left the field without scoring only twice, one of these being an away match against Juventus.
I believe Juventus will struggle to keep a clean sheet, and I expect a strong offensive performance from AC Milan. My prediction: AC Milan Individual Total Over 0.5
