The Matchday 19 clash in the Russian Premier League between Krasnodar and Krylia Sovetov will take place on March 1 at the Krasnodar Stadium. Krasnodar vs. Krylia Sovetov: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krasnodar
Murad Musayev's side couldn't determine a winner in their last home encounter with Lokomotiv (0-0). As a result, Krasnodar failed to win their fourth consecutive RPL match (3 draws, 1 loss), although they previously had an 11-match winning streak in the league. Nevertheless, Krasnodar managed to maintain their lead in the standings, but Zenit has the same number of points and trails only on additional criteria. Notably, the team has conceded the fewest goals at home in the current Premier League season (5).
- The team has not lost in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the RPL (7 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 home league matches.
- At least one of the opponents has failed to score in Krasnodar's last six home matches in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-2-3-1)
Stanislav Agkatsev – Sergey Petrov, Diego Enrique Costa, Vitor Tormena, Lucas Olaza – Kevin Castaño, Alexander Chernikov – Joao Bachi, Eduard Spertsyan, Viktor Sa – John Cordoba.
Head coach Murad Musayev will not be able to assist the team from the bench due to suspension. It's worth noting that no significant transfers were made by the club during the winter break.
Krylia Sovetov
In the last round, Igor Osinkin's side suffered a 1-3 away defeat to Rostov. This marked Krylia Sovetov's tenth loss in the current Premier League season – only Orenburg, who are at the bottom of the table, have more losses (12). Moreover, the team conceded more than two goals for the first time in their last 15 league matches. In the standings, Samara is in tenth place with 18 points.
- The team has not won in 9 of their last 11 away matches in the Premier League (2 draws, 7 losses).
- The club has scored in 5 of their last 7 away league matches.
- Samara has conceded at least two goals in their last four away matches in the RPL.
Predicted lineup for Krylia Sovetov (4-4-2)
Sergey Pesyakov – Glenn Bale, Ilya Gaponov, Roman Evgeniev, Kirill Pechenin – Anton Zinkovsky, Sergey Babkin, Amar Rahmanovic, Igor Dmitriev – Ivan Oleynikov, Ivan Sergeev.
Midfielder Maxim Vityugov will miss the match due to injury. Defenders Dominik Oroz and Nikolai Rasskazov are suspended. It's worth noting that during the winter, midfielder Victor Mendes, as well as forwards Franco Orozco and Benjamin Garre, left the club. Meanwhile, midfielder Luka Gagnidze and forward Anton Zinkovsky joined the Samara squad.
Referee
Rafael Shafeev (Russia)
Matches – 17 (RPL, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 72;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 24%.
Krasnodar vs. Krylia Sovetov: Match Prediction
Fan support often helps Krasnodar – the club plays confidently at home and prefers attacking football. The last two home league matches against Spartak (0-3) and Lokomotiv (0-0) were disappointing for Murad Musayev's side, but before that, the team scored at least twice in six consecutive home league matches.
Defense is not Krylia Sovetov's strong suit, so the club often tries to assert themselves with active forward play. Even away, Samara scores regularly: in the last 14 away league matches, the team left the field without scoring only four times, and on four occasions scored at least two goals. However, in the last 11 away league encounters, Krylia Sovetov kept a clean sheet only once, and in seven matches during this stretch, they conceded at least two goals.
I expect a high-scoring encounter, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
