The second leg of the Russian Cup 2025/26 RPL Path quarter-final between Krasnodar and Orenburg will take place on November 26 at the Ozon Arena. The score of the first match was 3-1 in favor of Krasnodar. Krasnodar vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krasnodar
Murad Musayev's team defeated Orenburg 3-1 on their field in the first match. Thus, the team's unbeaten run in regular time in the Russian Cup has reached six matches (5 wins, 1 draw). Notably, Krasnodar scored less than two goals in only one of these matches. However, the club has conceded in 9 of their last 12 games in this tournament. To advance to the semi-finals of the RPL Path, Krasnodar can even afford to lose by a minimal margin.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Krasnodar's last 11 matches in the national Cup.
- The club has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 5 home matches in the Russian Cup (1 draw, 3 losses).
- At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 5 of Krasnodar's last 6 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-5-1)
Alexander Koryakin – Valentin Paltsev, Artem Khmarin, Vitaliy Stezhko, Giovanni Gonzalez – Gustavo Santos, Kevin Lenini, Danila Kozlov, Nikita Krivtsov, Gaetan Perrin – Kazbek Mukailov.
Forward Moses Kobnan and defender Sergey Petrov are injured.
Orenburg
The defeat in the last match was the fifth for Orenburg in the current national Cup campaign (1 win and 1 draw in regular time). To advance to the next round of the upper bracket, Ildar Akhmetzyanov's team needs to beat Krasnodar by a large margin. The team's only victory in the Russian Cup 2025/26 was by a narrow margin. If Orenburg manages to win by exactly two goals, the opponents will face a penalty shootout. It should be noted that Orenburg has only beaten Krasnodar twice at the official level, both times at home.
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 games in the national Cup.
- Away in this tournament, the club has lost 5 of their last 6 matches (1 win).
- In 4 of their last 5 away matches in the Russian Cup, Orenburg has conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (3-4-3)
Nikolay Sysuev – Artem Kasimov, Stanislav Oleynik, Nikolay Koserik – Vladan Bubanija, Stanislav Poroykov, Pavel Gorelov, Vladislav Kamilov – Alexandre Jesus, Maxim Savelev, Stepan Oganesyan.
Defender Alexey Tataev is injured.
Referee
Ranel Ziyakov (Russia)
Matches – 5 (Russian Cup, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 31;
Penalties – 20%.
Krasnodar vs. Orenburg: Match Prediction
In the first match, the score was level until the 88th minute. In the remaining time, John Cordoba's brace almost decided the winner of the tie. Krasnodar has not lost in regular time in 15 of their last 19 home matches in the Russian Cup, with all 4 defeats coming by a narrow margin. During this period, Krasnodar has scored more than 2 goals only twice. Considering the result of the previous match, I do not expect Murad Musayev's team to strive for another convincing victory.
Under Ildar Akhmetzyanov, Orenburg has improved defensively. In five RPL matches, the team has not conceded more than one goal, even though three of their opponents during this period were from the top-6 of the championship. In 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Russian Cup, Orenburg has not allowed more than two goals. Orenburg will continue their fight for the trophy regardless, so they will not have the task of pushing forward at all costs, leaving defensive gaps.
My prediction: Krasnodar Individual Total Under 2.5
