The Serie A Matchday 25 fixture between Lazio and Atalanta will take place on 14 February at the Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs Atalanta: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lazio
Lazio managed to take points away to Juventus last time out (2:2). However, Maurizio Sarri's side have just two wins in their last nine league matches (five draws, two defeats). It is worth noting that in four games during that run, the home team did not manage to score at all. Lazio have 26 goals in total, which is the lowest scoring record among the teams in the top half of the standings. What is more, in five of their last seven Serie A matches, the club have conceded at least twice. In the overall table, Lazio sit eighth, eight points adrift of the European places.
- Lazio have not scored more than once in nine of their last 12 league games.
- At home, the team have failed to win five of their last six Serie A matches (three draws, two defeats).
- The club have conceded in five of their last six home games in this competition.
Potential Lazio Lineup (4-5-1)*
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Nuno Tavares, Mario Gila, Oliver Provstgaard – Toma Basic, Kenneth Taylor, Daniel Maldini, Gustav Isaksen, Danilo Cataldi – Pedro.
Defender Samuel Gigot and midfielder Mattia Zaccagni will miss out through injury. Defender Alessio Romagnoli is suspended.
Atalanta
The team beat Cremonese 2:1 at home last time out, and that win was their fifth in the last seven league matches (two draws), while the goal they conceded was only their second in that period. Even so, in terms of defensive solidity, Raffaele Palladino's men trail as many as five rivals. In the overall standings, Atalanta are seventh, six points clear of their nearest opponent. It should also be added that away from home, the visitors have scored just 12 of their 32 goals.
- No more than two goals have been scored in seven of Atalanta's last nine Serie A matches.
- Away from home, the club have failed to win seven of their last nine league games (four draws, three defeats).
- Atalanta have not conceded more than once in 25 of their last 27 away matches in this competition.
Potential Atalanta Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Giorgio Scalvini, Sead Kolasinac – Nicola Zalewski, Mario Pasalic, Lazar Samardzic, Davide Zappacosta – Giacomo Raspadori, Ederson, Nikola Krstovic.
Forward Gianluca Scamacca is injured.
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Yellow cards per match on average – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 30;
Penalties – 29%.
Lazio vs Atalanta: Match Prediction
During their seven-match unbeaten run in the league, Atalanta have conceded just twice. Moreover, the team allowed goals only against relegation battlers Pisa and Cremonese, with the latter scoring moments before the final whistle. At the same time, they have managed to keep out far more illustrious opponents. Overall, this suggests that it is currently very difficult to breach Atalanta's goal. Palladino's side do score regularly, but they do not produce goal-fests, especially away from home. The club have not scored more than once in eight of their last nine away Serie A matches.
Lazio are also not exactly prolific. More than half the teams in the league have better goalscoring numbers. In their last five home league matches, the club have scored five goals, but those came against Genoa and Fiorentina, who are approaching 40 conceded. On the other hand, Lazio currently lack defensive reliability, but this fixture is extremely important in the race for Europe, so the hosts are likely to play with one eye on their own goal.
In the reverse fixture, the opponents played out a goalless draw. We are unlikely to see many goals this time either.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is the lineup from their previous match in this competition.
