The Coppa Italia Round of 16 match between Lazio and Milan will take place on December 4 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lazio
Maurizio Sarri's team has yet to play in this season's Coppa Italia. In recent years, Lazio has not achieved significant success in this tournament, exiting at the quarter-final stage in 5 of the last 6 seasons. They were also eliminated at this stage last year, losing 0-2 to Inter. Notably, in 8 of their last 10 matches in this tournament, Lazio has not scored more than one goal in regular time.
- The team has won 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Coppa Italia in regular time.
- Lazio scored in the first half in 6 of their last 8 home games in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in their last 14 home matches in the Coppa Italia.
Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-5-1)*
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini – Gustav Isaksen, Matias Vecino, Toma Basic, Matteo Guendouzi, Mattia Zaccagni – Boulaye Dia.
Defender Samuel Gigot, midfielders Danilo Cataldi and Nicolo Rovella, as well as forward Matteo Cancellieri, will miss the game due to injuries.
Milan
Massimiliano Allegri's side started from the Round of 64, defeating Bari (2-0) and Lecce (3-0). Milan secured back-to-back clean sheet victories in the Coppa Italia for the first time since 2016. Over the last ten seasons, the team has reached at least the semi-finals six times and participated in the final three times, yet has not won the trophy, with their last Coppa Italia victory dating back to 2003. Last season, Milan lost in the final to Bologna, 0-1.
- The team has not won in regular time in their last five away matches in the Coppa Italia (4 draws, 1 loss).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 90 minutes in 6 of Milan's last 7 away matches in this tournament.
- Milan has not scored more than one goal in regular time in their last six away matches in the Coppa Italia.
Predicted lineup for Milan (3-5-2)*
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlović – Davide Bartesaghi, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Alexis Saelemaekers – Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.
Defender Zakari Ateka, midfielder Christian Pulisic, and forward Santiago Jimenez will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Marco Guida (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 67%.
Lazio vs. Milan: Match Prediction
In cup matches, Lazio has been confident at home and has not lost in regular time since 2016. During this period, Lazio played 15 home matches in the Coppa Italia, winning 12 and drawing three in regular time. In their last three home games in this tournament, they defeated Napoli, Juventus, and Roma.
Milan struggles in away matches in the Coppa Italia. The team has not won in regular time in their last five away games in this tournament (4 draws, 1 loss). Additionally, Milan has not been particularly prolific, failing to score in regular time away in the Coppa Italia since 2017. It's also noteworthy that Milan has not won in regular time in 13 of their last 17 matches against Lazio in Serie A and the Coppa Italia (6 wins, 7 draws).
I believe the hosts will not lose in regular time in this match, so my prediction: Lazio win or draw
