In the Coppa Italia Round of 16, Lazio will face Napoli on December 5 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Luca Pairetto (Italy)
Matches – 20 (Serie A and Coppa Italia, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 87;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 50%.
Predicted lineups for Lazio vs. Napoli
Lazio (4-3-3): Ivan Provedel – Manuel Lazzari, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini – Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Matteo Guendouzi, Nicolo Rovella – Gustav Isaksen, Valentin Castellanos, Mattia Zaccagni.
Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Mathias Olivera – Stanislav Lobotka, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay – Matteo Politano, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Romelu Lukaku.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match is listed.
Lazio
Marco Baroni's side begins their Coppa Italia campaign at this stage, thanks to their top-eight finish in Serie A last season. Notably, the national cup has been won by the team four times in the 21st century, but in 4 of the last 5 editions of this tournament, the Romans have not progressed beyond the quarter-finals. Last season, Lazio reached the semi-finals, where they were defeated by Juventus over two legs (0-2 and 2-1).
Defender Nuno Tavares will miss the game due to injury.
- The club has not lost in regular time in their last 14 home matches in the Coppa Italia (11 wins, 3 draws).
- No more than one goal was scored in 90 minutes in 4 of the last 5 home matches in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 5 of Lazio's last 6 home matches in the national cup.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side had to start from the first round of this Coppa Italia due to their poor performance in Serie A last season. The team narrowly overcame Modena (0-0, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3), but then easily dispatched Palermo (5-0). Notably, Napoli has won this tournament six times, but in the last three editions of the national cup, the Neapolitans have not advanced beyond the Round of 16.
Defender Pasquale Mazzocchi will not play due to injury.
- The team has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 5 away matches in the national cup (1 draw, 3 losses).
- Both opponents scored in 90 minutes in 5 of the last 7 away matches in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 5 of Napoli's last 6 away matches in the Coppa Italia.
Lazio vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
While the Romans often display attacking football in their home league matches, this is not the case in cup matches. Lazio has not scored more than two goals in regular time in their last six home matches in the Coppa Italia, and in four of these, they limited themselves to just one goal. Moreover, in none of their last 13 home matches in the national cup have they conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes, and in nine of these games, they kept a clean sheet.
Napoli also struggles in attack during away matches: in their last five away matches in the Coppa Italia, the club has not scored more than once in regular time. Furthermore, their Serie A performance is not much better: in 4 of their last 5 away league matches, Antonio Conte's side scored a maximum of one goal.
Considering all pre-match factors, I do not expect a high-scoring encounter. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
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