The Coppa Italia Round of 16 clash between Lazio and Napoli will take place on December 5 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Luca Pairetto (Italy)
Matches – 20 (Serie A and Coppa Italia, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 87;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 50%.
Predicted lineups for Lazio vs. Napoli
Lazio (4-3-3): Ivan Provedel – Manuel Lazzari, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini – Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Matteo Guendouzi, Nicolo Rovella – Gustav Isaksen, Valentin Castellanos, Mattia Zaccagni.
Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Mathias Olivera – Stanislav Lobotka, Andre Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay – Matteo Politano, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Romelu Lukaku.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match is listed.
Lazio
Marco Baroni's side starts their Coppa Italia campaign at this stage, having finished in the top eight of Serie A last season. Notably, the team has won the national cup four times in the 21st century, but in 4 of the last 5 editions, Lazio has failed to progress past the quarter-finals. Last season, Lazio reached the semi-finals, where they were outplayed by Juventus over two legs (0-2 and 2-1).
Defender Nuno Tavares will miss the game due to injury.
- The club has not lost in regular time in their last 14 home matches in the Coppa Italia (11 wins, 3 draws).
- No more than one goal was scored in 90 minutes in 4 of the last 5 home games in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 5 of Lazio's last 6 home matches in the national cup.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side had to start from the first round of this season's Coppa Italia due to their poor performance in Serie A last season. The team struggled past Modena (0-0, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3), but then easily dispatched Palermo (5-0). Napoli has won this tournament six times, but in the last three editions, they have not advanced past the Round of 16.
Defender Pasquale Mazzocchi will not play due to injury.
- The team has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 5 away matches in the national cup (1 draw, 3 losses).
- Both opponents scored in 90 minutes in 5 of the last 7 away games in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 5 of Napoli's last 6 away matches in the Coppa Italia.
Lazio vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
In the league, Lazio often delivers high-scoring performances at home, but the same cannot be said for cup matches. In their last six home games in the Coppa Italia, Lazio has never scored more than two goals in regular time, and in four of those matches, they managed just one goal. Moreover, in none of their last 13 home encounters in the national cup have they conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes, and in nine of those games, they kept a clean sheet.
Napoli also struggles in attack during away games: in their last five away matches in the Coppa Italia, the team has not scored more than one goal in regular time. Furthermore, Napoli's away form in Serie A is also lacking, with the team scoring no more than one goal in 4 of their last 5 away league matches.
Given all pre-match factors, I do not expect many goals in this encounter. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
