Matchday 6 of the Nations League between Latvia and Armenia in Group 4 of League C will take place on November 17 at the Skonto Stadium in Riga. Latvia vs. Armenia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 69;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Latvia vs. Armenia
Latvia (5-3-2): Rihards Matrevics – Roberts Savalnieks, Raivis Jurkovskis, Antonijs Cernomordijs, Vitalijs Jagodinskis, Andrejs Ciganiks – Alvis Jaunzems, Lukass Vapne, Dmitrijs Zelenkovs – Eduards Daskevics, Dario Sits.
Armenia (4-3-3): Ognen Cancarevic – Nair Tiknizyan, Varazdat Haroyan, Gevorg Arutyunyan, Hovhannes Hambardzumyan – Vahan Bichakhchyan, Ugochukwu Iwu, Eduard Spertsyan – Artur Miranyan, Lucas Zelarayan, Edgar Sevikyan.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is indicated.
Latvia
The Latvians extended their winless streak in the Nations League to three matches (1 draw, 2 losses), losing 0-1 to North Macedonia in the last round. Both losses in this stretch were without scoring. As a result of the defeat against North Macedonia, the team dropped to the last place in the group, trailing the upcoming opponent only due to head-to-head results, as they have the same number of points. A loss of points in this match will leave the team at the bottom of the group. Additionally, Latvia is the worst team in the group in terms of goal difference, with 3 scored and 9 conceded.
- The team has not scored more than one goal in their last 7 Nations League matches.
- The Latvians have not won 6 of their last 7 games in this tournament (2 draws, 4 losses).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of Latvia's last 9 home matches in the Nations League.
Armenia
Armenia also lost 0-1 in their previous tournament match, falling at home to the Faroe Islands. This defeat marked their second consecutive goalless loss in the Nations League. As a result of the loss in the last round, the team dropped to 3rd place in the group standings, overtaken by their recent opponents. Armenia's winless streak in the Nations League has now reached four matches (1 draw and 3 goalless losses). However, a victory in the upcoming match will not only guarantee the team 3rd place and a spot in League C but also give them a chance to claim the 2nd position.
- Armenia has failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 Nations League matches, conceding at least twice in 8 of them.
- The team has not won 9 of their last 10 matches in the Nations League, suffering 8 losses.
- Armenia's away winless streak in this tournament is 5 matches (1 draw, 4 losses), conceding at least twice in all of them.
Latvia vs. Armenia: Match Prediction
Both teams could either advance to the playoffs for a chance to move up to League B or finish the group stage in 4th place and fight to retain their spot in League C in the playoffs. A victory will ensure either team finishes at least in 3rd place, but a draw will suffice for Armenia since they defeated Latvia 4-1 in the first-round match and have the advantage in head-to-head results.
Therefore, I expect the hosts to be more active, as they need a win to move off the bottom of the group. I'm confident that Latvia will play an attacking style, as they have been scoring regularly at home. Latvia has found the net in 5 of their last 6 home Nations League matches. Considering Armenia's extremely unreliable defense, I doubt they will keep a clean sheet. Armenia has failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 Nations League matches, conceding at least twice in 8 of them. They have also conceded at least twice in their last 5 away matches in this tournament.
Even in the first round, Armenia allowed Latvia to score despite a big win. Therefore, I am confident the hosts will score. My prediction: Latvia Individual Total Over 1