Matchday 15 of Ligue 1 between Le Havre and Strasbourg will take place on December 15 at the Stade Océane. Le Havre vs. Strasbourg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Abdelatif Kerrachi (France)
Matches – 6 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Le Havre vs. Strasbourg
Le Havre (3-4-2-1): Arthur Desmas – Gautier Lloris, Etienne Kinkoue, Yoann Salmier – Christopher Operi, Oussama Targhalline, Abdoulaye Touré, Timothée Pembélé – Yassine Kechta, Rassoul Ndiaye – Steve Ngoura.
Strasbourg (4-2-3-1): Djordje Petrovic – Diego Moreira, Mamadou Sarr, Ismael Doukoure, Gela Doué – Andrey Santos, Habib Diarra – Sebastian Nanasi, Emanuel Emegha, Dilane Bakwa – Sekou Mara.
Each team’s starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Le Havre
In the previous round, the team put up a decent fight against Nice, who are in the European competition spots, but ultimately succumbed to the more experienced opponent with a 1-2 defeat. In their last 11 Ligue 1 matches, the club has managed just two wins and suffered nine losses. Notably, Le Havre is the only team in the current championship that has not drawn a match. However, the four victories that translated into 12 points are not enough to stay out of the relegation zone: before the start of Matchday 15, the club sits in second-to-last place, but the gap from the safe 15th spot is minimal—just one point.
- In their last eight home matches in the league, the team has lost six times.
- In 4 of their last 5 home games in Ligue 1, Le Havre players failed to score a single goal.
- The club conceded first in 7 of their last 8 home league matches.
Strasbourg
In the previous round, Strasbourg did not display the most impressive football, drawing 0-0 with Reims, but Liam Rosenior’s players are surely satisfied with this result as it ended a four-match losing streak in Ligue 1. In the standings, Strasbourg is in 14th place, but the gap from the playoff zone is just one point, and the upcoming opponent is only two points away. It's also worth noting that all three of their victories in the current championship have been at home, while they have yet to win an away match.
- The club is on a four-match losing streak away in Ligue 1.
- In their last six away games in the league, the team has consistently conceded more than one goal, with a total of 18 goals scored against Strasbourg in these matches (an average of three per game).
Le Havre vs. Strasbourg: Match Prediction
Liam Rosenior’s charges regularly find the net even in away Ligue 1 matches. The bet on "Strasbourg ITB 1" has not lost in 5 of the team’s last 6 away league games (2 returns). Notably, during this period, the club scored more than one goal against several top opponents – Lyon (3-4), Lille (3-3), and even PSG (2-4).
Le Havre, meanwhile, has clear defensive issues in home Ligue 1 matches – the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their last 12 matches in this tournament, and in half of those games, they conceded at least two goals. I expect the visitors’ attack to breach Didier Digard’s side's weak defense, and it’s quite possible this could happen more than once.
My prediction: Strasbourg ITB 1
