The Matchday 19 clash in Serie A between Lecce and Genoa will take place on January 5 at the Via Del Mare Stadium. Lecce vs. Genoa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Livio Marinelli (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 29%.
Predicted lineups for Lecce vs. Genoa
Lecce (4-3-3): Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Federico Baschirotto, Gabi Jean, Patrick Dorgu – Lassana Coulibaly, Balthazar Pierret, Hamza Rafia – Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Krstovic, Tete Morente.
Genoa (4-2-3-1): Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Mattia Bani, Brooke Norton-Cuffy – Milan Badelj, Morten Frendrup – Vitinha, Morten Thorsby, Alessandro Zanoli – Andrea Pinamonti.
The starting lineup for each team in their last match in this tournament is listed.
Lecce
In the previous round, Marco Giampaolo's side suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Como. This marks the team's second consecutive loss and the first time in seven matches that Lecce failed to score in the league. The club has 16 points and sits 17th in the standings, just two points clear of the relegation zone. Notably, Lecce has scored only 11 goals this Serie A season, the lowest tally in the league.
Defender Kialonda Gaspar, midfielders Medon Berisha and Filip Marchwinski, and forward Lameck Banda will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has failed to win 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches (4 draws, 8 losses).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Lecce's last 7 home league matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline in Lecce's last five home Serie A matches.
Genoa
Patrick Vieira's side won 2-1 away against Empoli in the last round. As a result, Genoa has picked up points in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches (3 wins, 4 draws). Moreover, the team has scored more than one goal only five times this season. In the standings, Genoa holds 19 points and is in 13th place. Notably, Genoa has scored only seven goals in away matches this Serie A season, better than just two other clubs.
Defender Brooke Norton-Cuffy, midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi, and forward Mario Balotelli will miss the match due to injuries.
- The team is unbeaten in their last four away Serie A matches (3 wins, 1 draw).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of Genoa's last 9 away league matches.
- No more than two goals were scored in 6 of Genoa's last 9 away Serie A matches.
Lecce vs. Genoa: Match Prediction
Even at home, Lecce struggles to be productive in attack. The team focuses on solid defensive play, scoring rarely but also limiting opponents' chances. In 14 of their last 16 home Serie A matches, Lecce scored at most once, while conceding more than one goal only once in their last five home league games.
Genoa plays in a similar style, prioritizing strong defensive performances. They have conceded just one goal in their last four away Serie A matches. However, Genoa's attack lacks confidence, scoring more than one goal in just 2 of their last 9 away league matches.
I do not expect a high-scoring game between these teams, so I predict a low-scoring match. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
