The 24th-round match of the Premier League between Leeds United and Arsenal will take place on 31 january at Elland Road. Leeds United vs Arsenal: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Leeds United
Leeds United are in good form and have suffered just one defeat in their last 10 league matches — to Newcastle United in the 21st round by 3:4 (3 wins and 6 draws). After that loss the club beat Fulham at home (1:0) and almost beat Everton away, but settled for a 1:1 draw. Nevertheless, the excess of draws has prevented the home side from moving closer to midtable — the home side remains 16th but has a 6-point cushion over the bottom three.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of the team’s previous 6 league games.
- Leeds United failed to score more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches.
- The club is unbeaten at home in five consecutive Premier League matches (3 wins and 2 draws).
Potential Leeds United Lineup (3-5-2)*
Karl Darlow – Joe Rodon, Sebastien Bornauw, Pascal Struijk – Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Ilia Gruev, Jayden Bogle, James Justin – Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Brenden Aaronson.
Forward Daniel James and defender Jaka Bijol are injured. Defender Gabriel Gudmundsson is doubtful for the match.
Arsenal
Arsenal were surprisingly beaten at home by Manchester United in the last round, losing 2:3. Prior to that the team had drawn twice in the Premier League. Such winless runs had not occurred for the club since May last year. It is worth adding that before the defeat to Manchester United Arsenal had gone seven matches without defeat in the Premier League (5 wins and 2 draws). The club remains top of the table, but the gap to the two chasers has been reduced to 4 points. The team also remains the best defensively — only 17 goals conceded.
- Arsenal have not lost in 8 of their last 9 away Premier League matches (5 wins and 3 draws).
- Arsenal failed to score more than one goal in 4 of their previous 5 away Premier League games.
- In the club’s last five league matches the half-time score was a draw.
Potential Arsenal Lineup (4-3-3)*
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhães, Piero Hincapié, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba – Martin Subimendi, Declan Rice, Martin Odegaard – Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka.
Referee
Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches – 14 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow/red cards shown (including second yellow) – 66;
Average yellow/red per match – 4.7;
Straight red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 29%.
Leeds United vs Arsenal: Match Prediction
The squad coached by Daniel Farke adapted to the Premier League up until the end of autumn. Once winter began, the team looked like a different side. Since round 14 the club has steadily picked up points, and in the last 10 league matches has suffered only one defeat. Moreover, in that game Leeds United could even have won, but conceded two unfortunate goals from Newcastle United after the 90th minute. We believe that the hosts can still spring a surprise against the league leaders.
We expect that Leeds United may avoid defeat, or any loss will be minimal. In the previous 12 Premier League matches the club has not lost by more than one goal. As for Arsenal, besides the current run of three games without a win, they have recorded only one victory by a margin of two or more goals in their last nine Premier League matches. In addition, Arsenal have won just 2 of their last 6 away Premier League matches, and both victories were by a single goal.
Prediction: Leeds United (+1.5)
* The starting lineup for each team is shown as in their previous match in this competition.
