The Matchday 15 Premier League fixture between Leeds and Liverpool will take place on December 6 at Elland Road. Leeds vs Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leeds
Daniel Farke's side produced a shock result in the last round, beating Chelsea 3-1 at home. That victory pulled the club out of the relegation zone and moved them three points clear of the nearest team inside the bottom three. Prior to that, Leeds had endured a run of four consecutive league defeats. Interestingly, this season Leeds have only scored more than two goals in matches against Chelsea and Wolverhampton.
- The club has failed to win in 7 of their last 9 Premier League meetings (1 draw, 6 defeats).
- At least three goals have been scored in Leeds' last 6 league matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds' last 6 Premier League games.
Probable Leeds lineup (3-5-2)
Lucas Perri – Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk – Ao Tanaka, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Lukas Nmecha, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Forward Daniel James, and midfielders Jack Harrison and Sean Longstaff are sidelined through injury.
Liverpool
The reigning champions have slowly slipped into mid-table territory. Even newly promoted sides are no longer intimidated at Anfield — in the previous round adventurous Sunderland earned a 1-1 draw. Over their last nine Premier League matches Liverpool have managed just two wins, alongside one draw and six defeats. Consequently, the Reds have dropped to eighth in the table and sit three points outside the Champions League places. Notably, Arne Slot's team currently have a goal difference of 0 (21 scored, 21 conceded) — their worst after 14 matches since the 2000/01 season.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 9 of Liverpool's last 10 league matches.
- Liverpool have failed to score more than two goals in their last 12 Premier League games.
- The team have lost 4 of their last 5 away league matches.
Probable Liverpool lineup (4-2-3-1)
Alisson Becker – Joe Gomez, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Andy Robertson – Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch – Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo – Alexander Isak.
Defenders Conor Bradley and Jeremy Frimpong are out injured.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 11 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 9%.
Leeds vs Liverpool: Match Prediction
Bookmakers still regard Liverpool as clear favourites against sides from the lower half, but there are evident problems within the squad. The players appear short on confidence and the crowd has not been enough to inspire a turnaround. It looks increasingly likely that the Dutch coach will not survive until Christmas and could be dismissed.
Liverpool have won by more than a one-goal margin just twice in their previous 13 Premier League matches (both 2-0 victories). Moreover, in their last 11 away league games Liverpool have recorded a win by two or more goals only once (against West Ham). Leeds showed they can raise their level for big opponents when they beat Chelsea last time out. The hosts remain inconsistent, but they have lost by more than one goal in only 3 of their last 12 Premier League fixtures.
My prediction – Leeds +1 handicap
* Each team's starting XI reflects the lineup they used in their most recent match in this competition.
