Leganés vs Real Madrid: betting odds February 5, 2025

The Copa del Rey quarter-final match between Leganes and Real Madrid will take place on February 5 at the Butarque Stadium. Leganes vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Leganes

The club from the suburbs of Madrid played all four of its matches in the current Copa del Rey away, winning three times by a narrow margin, with one match requiring a penalty shootout. The most entertaining game was the last one, where Borja Jimenez's team managed to defeat one of the Segunda leaders, Almeria, 3-2. The most successful season for Leganes was 2017/18, when they reached the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey but lost to Sevilla over two legs.

Defender Enric Franquesa and midfielder Seydouba Cisse will miss the match due to injuries.

• The number "2" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 6 of the club's last 8 games in this tournament.
• Leganes has suffered only two defeats in 90 minutes in 11 of their last 13 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 5 draws).
• Both teams scored in regular time in 7 of Leganes' last 10 matches in this cup.

Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-2-3-1)

Juan Soriano – Javi Hernandez Carrera, Matija Nastasic, Sergio Gonzalez, Adria Altimira – Renato Tapia, Seydouba Cisse – Darko Brasanac, Munir El Haddadi, Roberto Lopez – Diego Garcia.

Real Madrid

The capital club played two matches in the current Copa del Rey. In the first game against modest Deportivo Minera, the team had no problems, winning 5-0 away, but in the previous round, they needed extra time to overcome Celta at home (2-2, extra time 3-0). Last season, Madrid was stopped at the round of 16, losing to Atletico (2-4), but the last time they won the cup was in 2023.

Due to injuries, defenders Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are out, and midfielder Eduardo Camavinga's participation is also in doubt.

• At least three goals were scored in regular time in Real Madrid's last six Copa del Rey matches.
• Madrid was victorious in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
• The team scored at least two goals in regular time in their last five away matches in this cup.

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)

Andriy Lunin – Fran Garcia, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric – Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior, Dani Ceballos – Kylian Mbappe.

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)

Matches – 14 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 36%.

Leganes vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction

Despite the rout that Madrid inflicted at Butarque in the first round of La Liga, I believe this match will be much tougher for them to win. Moreover, Real Madrid failed to beat Leganes at their stadium in three consecutive matches in the league and Copa del Rey (2 draws and 1 loss).

Borja Jimenez's team has appeared much more composed towards the middle of the season, suffering only one defeat in their last six matches in La Liga and Copa del Rey, and that too by a narrow margin (3 wins and 2 draws). It's worth noting that this winter, Leganes achieved two sensational victories in the league, defeating Barcelona and Atletico 1-0. Additionally, Real Madrid has a crucial La Liga derby against Atletico in three days, which they are preparing for more intensely than this cup match.

My prediction – Leganes with a handicap (+1.5)