The Copa del Rey quarter-final match between Leganes and Real Madrid will take place on February 5 at the Butarque Stadium. Leganes vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leganes
The club from the suburbs of Madrid has played all four of its matches in the current Copa del Rey away from home, winning three times in regular time and once in a penalty shootout. The most spectacular was the last match where Borja Jimenez's team defeated one of the leaders of the Segunda, Almeria, 3-2. Leganes' most successful season in the Copa del Rey was 2017/18, reaching the semi-finals but losing to Sevilla over two legs.
Defender Enric Franquesa and midfielder Seydouba Cisse will miss the match due to injuries.
- The number "2" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 6 of Leganes' last 8 games in this tournament.
- Leganes has suffered only two defeats in regular time in their last 13 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins, 5 draws).
- Both teams scored in regular time in 7 of Leganes' last 10 matches in this Cup.
Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-2-3-1)
Juan Soriano – Javi Hernandez Carrera, Matija Nastasic, Sergio Gonzalez, Adria Altimira – Renato Tapia, Seydouba Cisse – Darko Brasanac, Munir El Haddadi, Roberto Lopez – Diego Garcia.
Real Madrid
The capital club has played two matches in the current Copa del Rey. In the first game against Deportiva Minera, the team had no problems, winning 5-0 away, but in the previous round, they only managed to defeat Celta at home in extra time (2-2, extra time 3-0). Last season, Madrid was eliminated in the round of 16, losing to Atletico 4-2, while their last Cup triumph was in 2023.
Due to injuries, defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal, forward Kylian Mbappe, and midfielder Jude Bellingham are sidelined.
- At least three goals were scored in regular time in Real Madrid's last six Copa del Rey matches.
- Madrid won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- The team scored at least two goals in regular time in their last five away matches in this Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Andriy Lunin – Fran Garcia, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric – Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior, Dani Ceballos – Kylian Mbappe.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 14 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 36%.
Match Prediction: Leganes vs. Real Madrid
Despite the thrashing Madrid gave at Butarque in the first round of La Liga, I believe it will be much harder for them to beat the hosts in this encounter. Before that match, Real Madrid couldn't defeat Leganes at their stadium for three consecutive matches in the league and Copa del Rey (2 draws and 1 loss).
Borja Jimenez's team has become noticeably more composed towards the middle of the season, suffering only one defeat in their last six matches in La Liga and the Copa del Rey, and that by a minimal margin (3 wins and 2 draws). It's also worth noting that this winter, Leganes achieved two sensational victories in the league, defeating both Barcelona and Atletico 1-0. Additionally, Real Madrid has a crucial La Liga derby against Atletico in three days, which they will likely prioritize over this cup match.
My prediction: Leganes with a handicap (+1.5)
