The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Lille (France) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on March 12 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium. The score of the first match was 1-1. Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
Bruno Genesio's side drew 1-1 with Dortmund in the first match. This draw was the team's first in their last five Champions League matches (3 wins, 1 loss). Interestingly, both teams scored in all these games. Lille's overall goal-scoring streak in the Champions League now stands at eight matches. Notably, the French team has never advanced past the Round of 16 in this tournament, but in both previous instances, they lost the first match at this stage.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Lille's last 7 Champions League games.
- The club has not lost at home in 6 Champions League matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- In 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament, Lille has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-4-2)
Lucas Chevalier – Ismaily, Alessandro, Bafode Diakite, Thomas Meunier – Ngalayel Mukau, Ayoub Bouaddi, Benjamin Andre, Mitchel Bakker – Jonathan David, Hakon Haraldsson.
Forward Edon Zhegrova, defenders Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos, and midfielder Nabil Bentaleb will miss the match due to injuries.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund opened the scoring in the previous match but failed to win after taking the lead for the third time in this Champions League campaign. However, the team's unbeaten run in the Champions League has reached four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). The question of advancing to the next round remains open, but it's worth noting that Borussia has successfully passed the Round of 16 in two of their last three attempts in this tournament. Additionally, the club is tied for third place with Bayern in terms of scoring in the current Champions League campaign.
- The Germans have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches in this European competition.
- Dortmund has not drawn in their last 7 away matches in the Champions League (4 wins, 3 losses).
- In their last six away matches in the Champions League, Borussia has scored first.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Julian Ryerson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Karim Adeyemi, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Emre Can – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha and defender Daniel Svensson are injured.
Referee
Sandro Schärer (Switzerland)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
The French team can be proud of their performance in the first match, although Lille has not had great results away from home in the Champions League. However, Bruno Genesio's side is capable of much at home, having not lost in 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament (6 wins, 3 draws). In the current Champions League campaign, even clubs like Real Madrid (1-0) and Juventus (1-1) found it tough at Pierre Mauroy Stadium. In almost a year, the French team has suffered only two defeats in 20 official home matches.
Lille's issues are generally related to their defense. The team has conceded in 7 consecutive Champions League matches but has also scored in 8 consecutive games in this tournament. Dortmund is adept at punishing defensive mistakes: the Germans have scored in 10 of their 11 Champions League games, and Borussia has a 10-match scoring streak away from home.
A home defeat seems unlikely. However, a potential draw should not be low-scoring. My prediction: Lille will not lose and Total Over 1.5 goals
