Matchday 14 of Ligue 1 between Lille and Brest will take place on December 6 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Benoit Bastien (France)
Matches – 6 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 83%.
Predicted lineups for Lille vs. Brest
Lille (4-5-1): Lucas Chevalier – Bafodé Diakité, Aïssa Mandi, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Mitchel Bakker – Benjamin André, Ayoub Bouaddi, Matias Fernandez Pardo, Ngalael Mukau, Rémy Cabella – Jonathan David.
Brest (4-5-1): Marco Bizot – Massadio Haidara, Julien Le Cardinal, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Edimilson Fernandes, Mahdi Camara, Mathias Pereira Lage, Romain Faivre, Mama Baldé – Ludovic Ajorque.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
Lille
The club extended their unbeaten run in Ligue 1 to nine matches (4 wins, 5 draws) after drawing 2-2 with Montpellier in the last round. This is the second-longest active unbeaten streak in the league, following PSG. In the Ligue 1 standings, Bruno Genesio's side is in the Champions League zone, occupying 4th place, trailing the leader by 10 points. At home this season, Lille has not lost in 5 of 6 matches, securing 3 victories.
- The club's home scoring streak in Ligue 1 spans 31 matches, scoring at least twice in 22 of them.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Lille's last 12 home matches in the French championship.
- The team has scored first in their last 5 matches in this tournament.
Brest
The Bretons ended their three-match losing streak in the French championship by defeating Strasbourg 3-1 in their last match. However, the team once again failed to keep a clean sheet, conceding in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Thanks to their win in the last round, Brest climbed to 11th place in the league standings, reducing the gap to the European competition zone to four points. It's worth noting that the club still has a negative goal difference this season in Ligue 1 – 19:23.
- The team has won with a (+1.5) handicap in 6 of their last 7 league matches.
- The Bretons have scored in 6 of their last 7 matches in the top French division.
- Brest's uncompromising away streak in Ligue 1 stands at 12 matches (5 wins, 7 losses).
Lille vs. Brest: Match Prediction
After an away victory over Bologna in the Champions League, Lille was unable to secure three points in the league, drawing with the tournament's outsider Montpellier. However, this week, Bruno Genesio's side does not have a European fixture, allowing them to fully prepare for the visit of the Bretons. At home, Lille has traditionally been strong, losing only to the league leader PSG this season, and earning points in the other five matches. It's also noteworthy that the club regularly scores at home, with an impressive 31-match scoring streak.
This could pose a problem for Brest, who have been defensively shaky this season, conceding 23 goals. Numerous injuries further diminish the visitors' chances of ending their six-match streak of conceding goals in Ligue 1. Additionally, Brest has conceded at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 away league matches. Lille, in turn, has scored at least twice in 11 of their last 15 home matches in Ligue 1.
I believe that once again, the hosts will breach the visitors' unreliable defense at least twice. My prediction – Lille Individual Total Over 1.5
