The fourth-round match of the Champions League 2024/25 group stage between Lille (France) and Juventus (Italy) will take place on November 5 at the Pierre-Mauroy Stadium. Lille vs Juventus: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Irfan Pelto (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 56;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalty kicks awarded – 43%.
Probable line-ups for Lille vs Juventus
Lille (4-5-1): Luca Chevalier – Thomas Meunier, Bafode Diakite, Alexandro Ribeiro, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Benjamin Andre, Andre Gomes, Edon Zhegrova, Angel Gomes, Usam Sahraoui – Jonathan David.
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Michele Di Gregorio – Juan Cabal, Federico Gatti, Pierre Kalulu, Andrea Cambiaso – Manuel Locatelli, Hefren Thuram – Timothy Weah, Manuel Locatelli, Kenan Yildiz – Dusan Vlahovic.
Lille
Under the guidance of Bruno Genesio, Lille won their last away game against Atletico Madrid with a score of 3:1. As a result, Lille secured their second consecutive victory in the Champions League, earned six points, and climbed to the 15th spot in the group stage table. Notably, the team has won 5 out of their last 6 Champions League matches, excluding playoff games.
Defenders Ismaily, Thiago Santos, and Samuel Umtiti, midfielders Remy Cabella, Ethan Mbappe, and Nabil Bentaleb, as well as striker Haukon-Arnar Haraldsson, will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club hasn't lost in regular time in 6 out of their last 7 home Champions League matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team kept clean sheets in 5 out of their last 7 home games in this competition.
- No more than two goals were scored in regular time in 7 out of the last 9 home fixtures of the French side in the Champions League.
Juventus
In the last round, Thiago Motta's men suffered a 0:1 defeat at home to Stuttgart. This loss became the team's seventh in their last ten Champions League encounters. Moreover, Juventus failed to score for the first time in their last five matches in this competition, while their streak of conceding goals in regular time extended to 11 games. The club has dropped to the 14th place in the table.
Defender Gleison Bremer, midfielder Douglas Luiz, and forwards Arkadiusz Milik and Nicolas Gonzalez will not play due to injuries. Defender Danilo is suspended for this game.
- The team has not won in regular time in 5 out of their last 6 away Champions League matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
- Both opponents scored within 90 minutes in 4 out of the last 5 away games of the club in this competition.
- At least three goals were scored in regular time in 8 out of the last 11 away matches of the Italians in the Champions League.
Lille vs Juventus: Match Prediction
The French side has been consistently strong at home in the Champions League and has proven capable of defeating any opponent, as evidenced by their second-round match where they beat Real Madrid (1:0) at home. Additionally, in their last five home games in this competition, Lille has scored in regular time, and in two qualification matches of the current Champions League season, the club's players scored twice at home.
Juventus, at the beginning of the current season, had a lengthy spell of not conceding goals, but the loss of key central defender Gleison Bremer has had a negative impact on the team's defensive reliability. In their last seven matches in Serie A and the Champions League, the Turin side has only managed two clean sheets, conceding a total of ten goals. It is also worth noting that in their last four away Champions League matches, the Italians conceded at least two goals within 90 minutes.
I do not believe Juventus can play reliably in defense against an opponent who feels so confident in home games. My prediction:
Lille to score over 1 goal with odds of 1.92.
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