The Matchday 9 clash in Ligue 1 between Lille and Metz will take place on October 26 at the Pierre-Mauroy Stadium in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Metz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
Under Bruno Genesio, Lille failed to secure a win from Matchday 5 to 7 (1 draw and 2 losses), repeating a streak last seen in January this year. However, they broke this unfortunate run in their last league match, defeating Nantes 2-0 away. This victory lifted them to 6th place in the standings. Notably, Lille boasts the third-best attack in Ligue 1, having scored 16 goals.
- The team has not lost in 7 of their last 9 league matches (5 wins and 2 draws).
- Lille has won 7 of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1 (2 draws and 1 loss).
- The club has conceded exactly 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 home games in the league.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-3-3)
Berke Ozer – Romain Perraud, Chancel Mbemba, Thomas Meunier, Aissa Mandi – Benjamin Andre, Ayoub Bouaddi, Hakon Haraldsson – Mathias Fernandez Pardo, Felix Correia, Olivier Giroud.
Metz
The team remains the only one in Ligue 1 yet to secure a win this season. After 8 rounds, Stephane Le Mignan's side has only 2 points and the worst defensive record, having conceded 20 goals. In the last two rounds, they suffered heavy defeats: at home to Marseille (0-3) and away to Toulouse (0-4). Notably, Metz has already endured four heavy losses in this Ligue 1 campaign.
- The club has suffered 11 defeats in their last 14 league matches (1 win and 2 draws).
- At least 3 goals were scored in 10 of Metz's last 14 Ligue 1 games.
- The team is on a 6-match losing streak away in the league.
Predicted lineup for Metz (3-4-3)
Jonathan Fisher – Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Fode Ballo-Toure – Boubacar Traore, Alpha Toure, Gauthier Hein, Jean-Philippe Gbamin – Giorgi Abuashvili, Cheikh Sabaly, Habib Diallo.
Defender Sadibou Sane is suspended for 3 matches.
Referee
Benoit Millot (France)
Matches – 19 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 8;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 37%.
Lille vs. Metz: Match Prediction
The favorite in this matchup is clear. It seems likely that the visitors will extend their winless streak and once again concede more than 1 goal. Metz appears unprepared for their return to the French elite, having lost half of their new season matches by a large margin. Meanwhile, Lille ranks among the top three for attacking play, making it realistic for the hosts to score at least three goals.
Lille performs well at their home ground, having lost only to Lyon in Ligue 1 since February. In contrast, Metz has lost all six of their previous away games in France's top division, conceding at least 3 goals in each of their last four away matches. I am confident that betting on high scoring in this encounter is the optimal choice.
My prediction – Total over 3 goals
