The Matchday 7 encounter of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Lille (France) will take place on January 21 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Liverpool vs. Lille
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Andrew Robertson, Ibrahima Konate – Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Luis Diaz.
Lille (4-2-3-1): Lucas Chevalier – Ismaily, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Bafode Diakite, Aissa Mandi – Andre Gomes, Benjamin Andre – Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Ayoub Bouaddi, Remy Cabella – Jonathan David.
Liverpool
The English club was the first to secure a spot in the Champions League playoffs. They only need to ensure a direct entry into the Round of 16, which requires them not to lose the upcoming match. The team has comfortably won all six group stage matches. They first dealt with two Serie A representatives, followed by two Bundesliga opponents, and then Arne Slot's side defeated two La Liga teams. It's worth noting that Liverpool has conceded only one goal after six rounds, a feat matched only by Inter in the current Champions League.
Defender Joseph Gomez is out due to injury.
- The club has not conceded a goal in five consecutive Champions League matches.
- The team has scored at least two goals in 10 of their last 13 games in this European competition.
- The score was tied at halftime in 9 of Liverpool's last 11 home matches in this tournament.
Lille
The French side continues to delight their fans. In the last round, they defeated Sturm 3-2 at home. This was the club's fourth win in their last five Champions League matches (also drawing with Juventus during this period). With 13 points, Lille remains among the top eight. If the club doesn't lose the upcoming match, they will guarantee themselves a spot in the Champions League playoffs.
Defenders Tiago Santos and Samuel Umtiti, midfielders Ethan Mbappe, Nabil Bentaleb, and forward Edon Zhegrova will miss the match due to injuries.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Lille's last 11 games in this European competition.
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 9 of Lille's last 12 matches in this tournament.
- In the club's last 20 away matches in this European competition, there has been only one draw (7 wins and 12 losses).
Liverpool vs. Lille: Match Prediction
The toughest matches of the group stage are behind Liverpool. In the remaining two rounds, the Merseysiders face Lille and PSV, so there's no doubt that Liverpool will secure a place in the Round of 16. I don't expect Liverpool to show high intensity and maximum focus in this game, as even a draw would suffice for them. The visitors, who are more motivated than the hosts, might take advantage of this.
For Arne Slot, it's more important to avoid new injuries and maintain the good physical condition of his players. After all, Liverpool is striving for maximum results in four tournaments simultaneously. With a safety net, I suggest a positive handicap for the visitors, who haven't lost by a large margin in the Champions League for 20 matches. Additionally, it's worth mentioning that Liverpool has won by a margin of two or more goals only once in their last nine matches in this European competition.
My prediction – Lille with a handicap (+2)