The English League Cup final between Liverpool and Newcastle will be held on March 16 at Wembley Stadium in London. Liverpool vs. Newcastle: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Liverpool
On their way to the main match of the tournament, Liverpool faced opponents exclusively from the Premier League. Arne Slot's team confidently overcame West Ham, Brighton, and Southampton, and in the semifinals, they faced Tottenham. In the first leg in London, the hosts won 1-0, but Liverpool convincingly avenged this with a 4-0 victory in the return match. It is worth noting that Liverpool are the current holders of the English League Cup and the most successful club in the competition's history with 10 titles.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 9 of the club's last 12 matches in this cup.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Liverpool's last 12 English League Cup games.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in regular time in 9 of their last 12 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Jarell Quansah, Kostas Tsimikas, Ibrahima Konate – Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch – Dominik Szoboszlai, Luis Diaz, Mohamed Salah – Diogo Jota.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side only encountered difficulties in the first round of the current English League Cup, overcoming Nottingham Forest in a penalty shootout. Subsequently, the club successively defeated AFC Wimbledon, Chelsea, and Brentford. Newcastle also surprisingly easily dispatched Arsenal in the semifinals, winning both matches 2-0. The club has yet to win this tournament but will play in the final for the third time. Interestingly, the last time they contested the trophy was two years ago, but they lost to Manchester United (0-2).
- The club's unbeaten run in regular time in the English League Cup stands at nine matches (7 wins and 2 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of Newcastle's last 7 games in this tournament.
- The club has opened the scoring in their last nine cup matches.
Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-3-3)
Nick Pope – Lloyd Kelly, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn – Joseph Willock, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali – Joelinton, Alexander Isak, Jacob Murphy.
Forward Anthony Gordon will miss the match due to suspension.
Referee
John Brooks (England)
Matches – 17 (Premier League, FA Cup, and English League Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 88;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 18%.
Match Prediction: Liverpool vs. Newcastle
Arne Slot and his team had a chance to win four trophies this season. However, Liverpool has already exited the FA Cup, seemingly sacrificing it for success in the other three competitions. But during the week, they also exited the Champions League, losing to PSG over two legs. In the Premier League, the club is performing excellently, so they can start collecting trophies with the English League Cup.
Despite their success in this tournament this season, Newcastle lacks consistency. They can defeat a top Premier League club and then lose or drop points against a mid-table or lower-ranked team. Liverpool rarely makes such mistakes. Additionally, looking at the head-to-head statistics, it's all in favor of Liverpool. In the last 15 Premier League meetings, Newcastle has not won a single match (3 draws and 12 losses).
My prediction – Liverpool to Win
