The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Liverpool (England) and PSG (France) will take place on March 11 at Anfield. The score of the first match is 1-0 in favor of Liverpool. Liverpool vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side achieved a narrow victory (1-0) in France. The British team has won nine matches in this tournament (1 loss), and in six of those games, they managed to keep a clean sheet. Interestingly, Liverpool has defeated the reigning champions of Germany, Spain, and France without conceding a goal in the current Champions League. Only Inter (1) and Arsenal (4) have conceded fewer goals than Liverpool (5). To advance to the quarter-finals, the English team needs to avoid losing the return leg.
- The club's goal-scoring streak in the Champions League spans 17 matches.
- At home, the British team has won 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches (1 loss).
- In their last 10 home games in this tournament, Liverpool has scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate – Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz.
Defenders Joe Gomez and Conor Bradley are injured.
PSG
The defeat in the first match ended the team's five-match winning streak in the Champions League. Moreover, Luis Enrique's side suffered their first loss in 23 official matches. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least two goals. If PSG defeats Liverpool by exactly one goal, extra time will be played. However, it's worth noting that after losing the first leg of a Champions League playoff, the French team has only progressed in two out of nine cases.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The team has not drawn in their last 8 away matches in this tournament (5 wins, 3 losses).
- PSG has not conceded more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction for Liverpool vs. PSG
Liverpool should thank their luck and goalkeeper for the result of the first match. PSG dominated Liverpool but failed to convert any chances, while Alisson Becker made 9 saves. The French need a win to advance, but few teams can defeat the hosts at Anfield. Moreover, Arne Slot's side is unlikely to have two consecutive lackluster performances.
At home, the English team has avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches (8 wins, 1 draw). Only Real Madrid managed to defeat Liverpool in this stretch. However, the Spanish club is Liverpool's nemesis, and the British have experience successfully facing PSG.
PSG has a streak of three away victories in the Champions League, but the level of their opponents should be considered. In away playoff matches, the French team has not impressed: in the last three years, they have only defeated Barcelona among strong opponents. Luis Enrique's side performed well in the first match, but it's unlikely they will manage to win against the English team.
My prediction – Liverpool with a handicap (0)
