The second leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 between Liverpool (England) and PSG (France) will take place on March 11 at Anfield. The first match ended 1-0 in favor of Liverpool. Liverpool vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side secured a narrow victory in France (1-0). The British team has now won nine matches in this tournament (1 loss), keeping a clean sheet in six of those games. Interestingly, Liverpool has defeated the reigning champions of Germany, Spain, France, and England without conceding a goal in this Champions League campaign. However, only Inter (1) and Arsenal (4) have conceded fewer goals than Liverpool (5).
- The club's scoring streak in the Champions League stands at 17 matches.
- At home, the British team has won 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches (1 loss).
- In their last 10 home games in this tournament, Liverpool has scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate – Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz.
PSG
The defeat in the first match ended a five-game winning streak for the team in the Champions League. Moreover, Luis Enrique's side suffered their first loss in 23 official matches. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least two goals. If PSG defeats Liverpool by exactly one goal, extra time will be played. However, it's worth noting that after losing the first leg of a Champions League playoff, the French team has only progressed in 2 out of 9 cases.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The team has not drawn in their last 8 away matches in this tournament (5 wins, 3 losses).
- PSG has not conceded more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 11%.
Liverpool vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The British team should thank luck and their goalkeeper for the result of the first match. PSG dominated Liverpool but failed to convert any chances, forcing Alisson Becker to make 9 saves. The French need a victory to advance, but few teams can overcome the hosts at Anfield. Arne Slot's side is unlikely to have two consecutive underwhelming performances.
At home, the English team has not lost in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches (8 wins, 1 draw). Only Real Madrid managed to defeat Liverpool in this period. However, the Spanish club is a nemesis for Liverpool, and the British have experience successfully facing PSG.
PSG is on a three-game winning streak in the Champions League away from home, but the level of their opponents should be considered. In the knockout stages of this tournament, the French have not impressed away: over the last three years, they have only defeated Barcelona among strong opponents. Luis Enrique's side impressed in the first match, but they are unlikely to achieve more than a draw.
My prediction: Liverpool with a handicap (0)
