The Matchday 5 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and PSV (Netherlands) will take place on November 26 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. PSV: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Under the guidance of Arne Slot, Liverpool has secured a place among the top eight. After four rounds, the team has only one loss, which occurred in an away match against Galatasaray (0-1). Interestingly, Liverpool has won against higher-ranked clubs: they defeated Eintracht away (5-1) and managed to overcome Atletico (3-2) and Real Madrid (1-0) at home. It is also noteworthy that in 25 Champions League matches, the English side has not drawn – 18 wins and 7 losses.
- Liverpool has won 11 of their last 14 matches in this tournament (3 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 matches in this European competition.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 home games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Giorgi Mamardashvili – Andrew Robertson, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Conor Bradley – Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch – Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Curtis Jones – Alexander Isak.
Defenders Conor Bradley and Jeremie Frimpong, as well as midfielder Florian Wirtz, are sidelined due to injuries.
PSV
The Dutch team had an unsuccessful start to the Champions League group stage, unexpectedly losing at home to Union (1-3). However, they quickly adapted and have not lost since. PSV drew 1-1 away against both Bayer and Olympiacos, and sensationally thrashed Napoli 6-2 at home. The team is currently 18th in the main stage of the European competition standings. Additionally, their matches average four goals.
- PSV has not won in 5 of their last 6 Champions League matches (3 draws and 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in PSV's last 10 matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of PSV's last 10 games in this European competition.
Predicted lineup for PSV (4-3-3)
Matej Kovar – Anass Salah-Eddine, Sergiño Dest, Jarek Gąsiorowski, Mauro Júnior – Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari – Ivan Perišić, Guus Til, Dennis Man.
Forwards Alassane Pléa and Ruben van Bommel are injured.
Referee
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández (Spain)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: Liverpool vs. PSV
Peter Bosz's side is confidently leading in the Eredivisie, scoring a lot of goals – more than three goals on average per match. They are also performing well in the Champions League, maintaining a good chance of finishing in the top 24 of the group stage. I believe the Dutch team is capable of taking points from the English side or at least not losing by a large margin. In their last 11 away matches in this tournament, PSV has not lost by three or more goals.
Even though Liverpool is among the top eight in the Champions League, the club is clearly in a crisis this autumn. They have already suffered five losses in the Premier League, more than in the entire previous season. If they manage to defeat PSV, it is unlikely to be with a confident scoreline. Notably, in their last 10 Champions League matches, Liverpool has only won once by a margin of three or more goals.
My prediction: PSV with a handicap (+2)
