The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 4 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Under the guidance of Arne Slot, Liverpool thrashed Eintracht 5-1 away in the last round. This marked the first time in nearly a year that the English side achieved a big win in the Champions League. However, it was only the second time in their last five matches in this tournament that Liverpool scored more than one goal. Defensively, the team has been vulnerable, conceding in seven consecutive Champions League matches. In the standings, Liverpool sits in 10th place with six points.
- The British side has not drawn in their last 24 Champions League games (17 wins, 7 losses).
- The club has scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home Champions League games.
- At home, the English side has conceded no more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Giorgi Mamardashvili – Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson – Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz, Ryan Gravenberch – Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike, Cody Gakpo.
Goalkeeper Alisson Becker, forward Alexander Isak, and defender Jeremie Frimpong are out due to injuries.
Real Madrid
The Spanish side remains unbeaten. Their victory over Juventus (1-0) in the last round marked their third consecutive win in the Champions League. After a seven-match streak of conceding goals in this tournament, Madrid has kept clean sheets in two consecutive games. In this Champions League edition, Xabi Alonso's team trails only Arsenal and Inter in the number of clean sheets. In the overall standings, Real Madrid occupies the 5th position.
- The team has scored at least one goal in 10 of their last 12 Champions League matches.
- The Spanish side has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-5-1)
Thibaut Courtois – Álvaro Carreras, Dean Heisen, Éder Militão, Federico Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappé.
Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rüdiger, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Franco Mastantuono, are injured.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 32;
Penalties – 20%.
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
The rivals have a rich history of encounters in the Champions League. The most recent one was in the last edition of the tournament, ending in a 2-0 victory for the British side. This win ended an eight-match winless run against Madrid (1 draw, 7 losses). At that time, Liverpool was in excellent form and had a near-perfect group stage. Currently, Arne Slot's side is delivering results that are hard to justify given the team's level: Liverpool has lost 6 of their last 8 official matches.
The Spaniards, in contrast, are consistent. In this Champions League edition, the team has not dropped points, and overall this season, Xabi Alonso's side has won 13 of 14 official matches (1 loss). Moreover, Real Madrid has not lost in 11 of their last 15 away Champions League encounters.
After Matchday 3, bookmakers heavily favored Liverpool, but due to their recent performances, the British side has nearly lost their favorite status. The Spaniards should capitalize on their opponent's poor form and secure points. My prediction: Real Madrid to win or draw
